Primera División · Apertura - 21
Aurora 2–2 Nacional Potosí
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 21:15 UTC · Felix Capriles, Cochabamba
AuroraTeam 1473Nacional PotosíTeam 1431- Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro 16' (pen)
- Rodrigo Ramallo 69'
- P. Azogue 36'
- M. Tomianovic 45+11' (pen)
We gave Aurora 45% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro – (pen.)16'Aurora:Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro – (pen.)
- 21'P. Azogue –Nacional Potosí:P. Azogue –
- 36'P. Azogue – assist A. Torrico –Nacional Potosí:P. Azogue – assist A. Torrico –
- I. Vidaurre – for Ivan Huayhuata –45'Aurora:I. Vidaurre – for Ivan Huayhuata –
- Erwin Junior Sanchez – for Ronaldo Sánchez –45'Aurora:Erwin Junior Sanchez – for Ronaldo Sánchez –
- Harrison Mojica – for Michael Rangel –45'Aurora:Harrison Mojica – for Michael Rangel –
- 45+11'M. Tomianovic – (pen.)Nacional Potosí:M. Tomianovic – (pen.)
- leandro barro –45+14'Aurora:leandro barro –
- Henry Vaca – for Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro –59'Aurora:Henry Vaca – for Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro –
- 61'Weslen Junior – for Schneider Peña Vaca –Nacional Potosí:Weslen Junior – for Schneider Peña Vaca –
- 69'Óscar Damián Villalba –Nacional Potosí:Óscar Damián Villalba –
- Rodrigo Ramallo –69'Aurora:Rodrigo Ramallo –
- 73'Weslen Junior –Nacional Potosí:Weslen Junior –
- Harrison Mojica –75'Aurora:Harrison Mojica –
- Jair Torrico –79'Aurora:Jair Torrico –
- 82'Oscar Baldomar – for D. Hoyos –Nacional Potosí:Oscar Baldomar – for D. Hoyos –
- 82'Tommy Tobar – for Weslen Junior –Nacional Potosí:Tommy Tobar – for Weslen Junior –
- 89'juan orellana – for Maximiliano Núñez –Nacional Potosí:juan orellana – for Maximiliano Núñez –
- 89'Juan Batista – for M. Tomianovic –Nacional Potosí:Juan Batista – for M. Tomianovic –
- Moisés Eduardo Velazco Gomez for Harrison Mojica –89'Aurora:Moisés Eduardo Velazco Gomez for Harrison Mojica –
- 90+4'Juan Batista –Nacional Potosí:Juan Batista –
Before kick-off (provisional): 45% · 28% · 27%(Aurora · draw · Nacional Potosí)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aurora €193K, Nacional Potosí €218K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aurora
6th in Primera División · 30 pts from 20
- 16 SepLGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1469
- 11 SepWSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1442
- 5 SepWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1456
- 27 AugDAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1462
- 15 AugLBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1479
Nacional Potosí
9th in Primera División · 27 pts from 20
- 16 SepLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1432
- 12 SepWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1396
- 7 SepWBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1358
- 25 AugLUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1363
- 16 AugWABB Bolivia Primera Division1351
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 30 /20 | 33.3 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 6th |
| Nacional Potosí | 27 /20 | 29.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aurora · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1542
Nacional Potosí · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1440
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Aurora: balanced profile (how David Diaz plays) · Nacional Potosí: balanced profile (how Eduardo Andrés Villegas Camara plays)