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Liga Pro · Championship Group - 3

Aucas 1–1 LDU de Quito

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito

Aucas crestAucasTeam 1558
1–1
Full time
HT 1–1
LDU de Quito crestLDU de QuitoTeam 1872

Match story

Aucas · draw · LDU de Quito

Before kick-off: 19% · 27% · 54%

Live chances: Aucas 3%, draw 92%, LDU de Quito 5% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Aucas 19%, draw 27%, LDU de Quito 54%2' · 0–0 · Aucas 19%, draw 27%, LDU de Quito 54%3' · 0–0 · Aucas 19%, draw 27%, LDU de Quito 54%4' · 0–0 · Aucas 19%, draw 27%, LDU de Quito 53%5' · 0–0 · Aucas 20%, draw 27%, LDU de Quito 53%6' · 0–0 · Aucas 20%, draw 27%, LDU de Quito 53%7' · 0–0 · Aucas 20%, draw 27%, LDU de Quito 53%8' · 0–0 · Aucas 20%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 53%9' · 0–0 · Aucas 20%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 53%10' · 0–0 · Aucas 20%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 52%11' · 0–0 · Aucas 20%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 52%12' · 0–0 · Aucas 20%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 52%13' · 1–0 · Aucas 44%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 28%14' · 1–0 · Aucas 44%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 28%15' · 1–0 · Aucas 44%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 27%16' · 1–0 · Aucas 45%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 27%17' · 1–0 · Aucas 45%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 27%18' · 1–0 · Aucas 45%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 27%19' · 1–0 · Aucas 45%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 26%20' · 1–0 · Aucas 45%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 26%21' · 1–0 · Aucas 46%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 26%22' · 1–0 · Aucas 46%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 25%23' · 1–0 · Aucas 46%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 25%25' · 1–0 · Aucas 47%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 25%26' · 1–0 · Aucas 47%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 24%27' · 1–0 · Aucas 47%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 24%28' · 1–0 · Aucas 47%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 24%29' · 1–0 · Aucas 48%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 23%30' · 1–0 · Aucas 48%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 23%31' · 1–0 · Aucas 48%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 23%32' · 1–0 · Aucas 49%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 22%33' · 1–0 · Aucas 49%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 22%34' · 1–0 · Aucas 49%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 22%35' · 1–0 · Aucas 49%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 22%36' · 1–0 · Aucas 50%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 21%37' · 1–0 · Aucas 50%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 21%38' · 1–0 · Aucas 50%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 21%39' · 1–0 · Aucas 51%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 20%40' · 1–0 · Aucas 51%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 20%41' · 1–0 · Aucas 51%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 19%42' · 1–0 · Aucas 52%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 19%43' · 1–0 · Aucas 52%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 19%44' · 1–0 · Aucas 52%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 19%45' · 1–0 · Aucas 53%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 18%45+1' · 1–0 · Aucas 53%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 18%45+2' · 1–0 · Aucas 53%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 17%45+3' · 1–0 · Aucas 54%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 17%45+4' · 1–0 · Aucas 54%, draw 29%, LDU de Quito 17%45+5' · 1–1 · Aucas 20%, draw 37%, LDU de Quito 43%45+6' · 1–1 · Aucas 20%, draw 37%, LDU de Quito 43%45+7' · 1–1 · Aucas 20%, draw 37%, LDU de Quito 43%HT · 1–1 · Aucas 20%, draw 37%, LDU de Quito 43%46' · 1–1 · Aucas 20%, draw 37%, LDU de Quito 43%47' · 1–1 · Aucas 20%, draw 38%, LDU de Quito 43%48' · 1–1 · Aucas 20%, draw 38%, LDU de Quito 42%49' · 1–1 · Aucas 20%, draw 38%, LDU de Quito 42%50' · 1–1 · Aucas 20%, draw 39%, LDU de Quito 41%51' · 1–1 · Aucas 20%, draw 39%, LDU de Quito 41%52' · 1–1 · Aucas 20%, draw 40%, LDU de Quito 40%53' · 1–1 · Aucas 19%, draw 41%, LDU de Quito 40%54' · 1–1 · Aucas 19%, draw 41%, LDU de Quito 39%55' · 1–1 · Aucas 19%, draw 42%, LDU de Quito 39%56' · 1–1 · Aucas 19%, draw 42%, LDU de Quito 38%57' · 1–1 · Aucas 19%, draw 43%, LDU de Quito 38%58' · 1–1 · Aucas 19%, draw 44%, LDU de Quito 37%59' · 1–1 · Aucas 19%, draw 44%, LDU de Quito 37%60' · 1–1 · Aucas 19%, draw 45%, LDU de Quito 36%61' · 1–1 · Aucas 18%, draw 46%, LDU de Quito 36%62' · 1–1 · Aucas 18%, draw 46%, LDU de Quito 35%63' · 1–1 · Aucas 18%, draw 47%, LDU de Quito 35%64' · 1–1 · Aucas 18%, draw 48%, LDU de Quito 34%65' · 1–1 · Aucas 18%, draw 49%, LDU de Quito 34%66' · 1–1 · Aucas 18%, draw 49%, LDU de Quito 33%67' · 1–1 · Aucas 17%, draw 50%, LDU de Quito 32%68' · 1–1 · Aucas 17%, draw 51%, LDU de Quito 32%69' · 1–1 · Aucas 17%, draw 52%, LDU de Quito 31%70' · 1–1 · Aucas 17%, draw 53%, LDU de Quito 30%71' · 1–1 · Aucas 16%, draw 54%, LDU de Quito 30%72' · 1–1 · Aucas 16%, draw 55%, LDU de Quito 29%73' · 1–1 · Aucas 16%, draw 56%, LDU de Quito 28%74' · 1–1 · Aucas 15%, draw 57%, LDU de Quito 28%75' · 1–1 · Aucas 15%, draw 58%, LDU de Quito 27%76' · 1–1 · Aucas 15%, draw 59%, LDU de Quito 26%77' · 1–1 · Aucas 14%, draw 60%, LDU de Quito 25%78' · 1–1 · Aucas 14%, draw 62%, LDU de Quito 24%79' · 1–1 · Aucas 14%, draw 63%, LDU de Quito 24%80' · 1–1 · Aucas 13%, draw 64%, LDU de Quito 23%81' · 1–1 · Aucas 13%, draw 66%, LDU de Quito 22%82' · 1–1 · Aucas 12%, draw 67%, LDU de Quito 21%83' · 1–1 · Aucas 12%, draw 69%, LDU de Quito 20%84' · 1–1 · Aucas 11%, draw 70%, LDU de Quito 19%85' · 1–1 · Aucas 11%, draw 72%, LDU de Quito 18%86' · 1–1 · Aucas 10%, draw 74%, LDU de Quito 17%87' · 1–1 · Aucas 9%, draw 75%, LDU de Quito 15%88' · 1–1 · Aucas 9%, draw 77%, LDU de Quito 14%89' · 1–1 · Aucas 8%, draw 79%, LDU de Quito 13%90' · 1–1 · Aucas 7%, draw 82%, LDU de Quito 11%90+1' · 1–1 · Aucas 6%, draw 84%, LDU de Quito 10%90+2' · 1–1 · Aucas 5%, draw 87%, LDU de Quito 8%90+3' · 1–1 · Aucas 4%, draw 89%, LDU de Quito 7%90+4' · 1–1 · Aucas 3%, draw 92%, LDU de Quito 5%

Last reading, 90+4': 3% · 92% · 5%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave LDU de Quito 54% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 8'Aucas:Mateo Burdisso 1587 −2*
  2. 12'Aucas:B. Oyola 1626 +4
  3. 43'Aucas:Alexander Bolaños 1538 +1 for B. Oyola 1626 +4
  4. 45'LDU de Quito:Alexander Alvarado 1781 −1 for Lucas Rodriguez 1945 −2
  5. 45'LDU de Quito:Jose Carabali 1818 −2 for Leonel Quinonez 1769 −5
  6. 45'LDU de Quito:Elvis Kevin Velasco Chere 1513 0 for Janner Corozo 1837 −3
  7. 45+4'LDU de Quito:Michael Estrada 1939 −2 (pen.)
  8. 50'Aucas:Agostino Spina 1678 +9
  9. 61'Aucas:Luis Arroyo 1556 0 for Alexander Bolaños 1538 +1
  10. 69'Aucas:Michael Carcelen 1607 −8* for Piero Andrés Guzmán Arrobo 1611 +4
  11. 69'Aucas:Byron Yardel Carabalí Delgado 1290 +3 for Rafael Monti Azpiazú 1477 +2*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations3-4-1-2
GG. Valle19060
DG. Allala1856−2
DRicardo Ade1737−9
DLeonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla1769−5
MM. Weigandt2141−4
MF. Cornejo1934−3
MJ. Pretell1900−1
MYerlin Quinonez19020
ML. Rodríguez1945−2
FJ. Corozo1837−3
FM. Estrada1939−2
CGustavo Álvarez18980
Before kick-off: 19% · 27% · 54%(Aucas · draw · LDU de Quito)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Aucas €414K, LDU de Quito €1.3M.
  • Liga Pro: L. Rodríguez was the highest-rated midfielder (1947).
  • Style contrast in discipline (Liga Pro): Aucas ranked #4 of 16, LDU de Quito #13.
  • All 11 of LDU de Quito's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Aucas

4th in Liga Pro · 50 pts from 30

  • 10 OctLIndependiente del Valle 1590
  • 19 SepLMacara 1622
  • 12 SepDManta FC 1502
  • 7 SepDBarcelona SC 1635
  • 3 SepDUniversidad Catolica 1647

LDU de Quito

5th in Liga Pro · 46 pts from 30

  • 11 OctWBarcelona SC 1891
  • 20 SepWUniversidad Catolica 1886
  • 16 SepWPalmeiras 1811
  • 13 SepDDeportivo Cuenca 1712
  • 9 SepLPalmeiras 1854

Season outlook

From the Liga Pro simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Aucas50 /3258.40%29%0%5th
LDU de Quito52 /3265.10%93%0%3rd
Aucas
LDU de Quito

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga Pro

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Burdisso
M. Burdisso

Aucas · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1589

J. Pretell
J. Pretell

LDU de Quito · +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1901

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Norberto Carlos Araujo

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Gustavo Álvarez

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Aucas: balanced profile (how Norberto Carlos Araujo plays) · LDU de Quito: balanced profile (how Gustavo Álvarez plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.