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Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13

Atletico Tucuman 2–3 Rosario Central

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucumán San Miguel

Atletico Tucuman crestAtletico TucumanTeam 1602
2–3
Full time
HT 2–2
Rosario Central crestRosario CentralTeam 1893

Match story

Atletico Tucuman · draw · Rosario Central

Before kick-off: 22% · 28% · 50%

Live chances: Atletico Tucuman 0%, draw 1%, Rosario Central 99% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Atletico Tucuman 22%, draw 28%, Rosario Central 50%2' · 0–0 · Atletico Tucuman 22%, draw 28%, Rosario Central 50%3' · 0–1 · Atletico Tucuman 10%, draw 20%, Rosario Central 70%4' · 0–1 · Atletico Tucuman 10%, draw 20%, Rosario Central 70%5' · 0–1 · Atletico Tucuman 10%, draw 20%, Rosario Central 70%6' · 0–1 · Atletico Tucuman 10%, draw 20%, Rosario Central 70%7' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 8%, Rosario Central 90%8' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 8%, Rosario Central 90%9' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 8%, Rosario Central 90%10' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 90%11' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 90%12' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%13' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%14' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%15' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%16' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%17' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%18' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%19' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%20' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%21' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%22' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%23' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%24' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%25' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 91%26' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 92%27' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 92%28' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 92%29' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 92%30' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 92%31' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 6%, Rosario Central 92%32' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 6%, Rosario Central 92%33' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 6%, Rosario Central 92%34' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 6%, Rosario Central 92%35' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 6%, Rosario Central 92%36' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 6%, Rosario Central 92%37' · 0–2 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 6%, Rosario Central 93%38' · 1–2 · Atletico Tucuman 8%, draw 21%, Rosario Central 71%39' · 1–2 · Atletico Tucuman 8%, draw 21%, Rosario Central 72%40' · 1–2 · Atletico Tucuman 8%, draw 21%, Rosario Central 72%41' · 1–2 · Atletico Tucuman 8%, draw 21%, Rosario Central 72%42' · 1–2 · Atletico Tucuman 8%, draw 21%, Rosario Central 72%43' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 22%, draw 37%, Rosario Central 42%44' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 22%, draw 37%, Rosario Central 42%45' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 22%, draw 37%, Rosario Central 41%45+1' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 21%, draw 38%, Rosario Central 41%45+2' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 21%, draw 38%, Rosario Central 41%HT · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 21%, draw 39%, Rosario Central 40%47' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 21%, draw 39%, Rosario Central 40%48' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 21%, draw 39%, Rosario Central 40%49' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 21%, draw 40%, Rosario Central 39%51' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 21%, draw 41%, Rosario Central 38%52' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 21%, draw 41%, Rosario Central 38%53' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 21%, draw 42%, Rosario Central 38%54' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 21%, draw 42%, Rosario Central 37%55' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 20%, draw 43%, Rosario Central 37%56' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 20%, draw 44%, Rosario Central 36%57' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 20%, draw 44%, Rosario Central 36%58' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 20%, draw 45%, Rosario Central 35%59' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 20%, draw 46%, Rosario Central 35%60' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 20%, draw 46%, Rosario Central 34%61' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 19%, draw 47%, Rosario Central 34%62' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 19%, draw 48%, Rosario Central 33%63' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 19%, draw 48%, Rosario Central 33%64' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 19%, draw 49%, Rosario Central 32%65' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 19%, draw 50%, Rosario Central 32%66' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 18%, draw 51%, Rosario Central 31%67' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 18%, draw 51%, Rosario Central 30%68' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 18%, draw 52%, Rosario Central 30%69' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 18%, draw 53%, Rosario Central 29%70' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 17%, draw 54%, Rosario Central 29%71' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 17%, draw 55%, Rosario Central 28%72' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 17%, draw 56%, Rosario Central 27%73' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 16%, draw 57%, Rosario Central 27%74' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 16%, draw 58%, Rosario Central 26%75' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 16%, draw 59%, Rosario Central 25%76' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 15%, draw 60%, Rosario Central 25%77' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 15%, draw 61%, Rosario Central 24%78' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 14%, draw 63%, Rosario Central 23%79' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 14%, draw 64%, Rosario Central 22%80' · 2–2 · Atletico Tucuman 14%, draw 65%, Rosario Central 21%81' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 2%, draw 14%, Rosario Central 84%82' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 14%, Rosario Central 85%83' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 13%, Rosario Central 86%84' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 12%, Rosario Central 86%85' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 12%, Rosario Central 87%86' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 11%, Rosario Central 88%87' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 11%, Rosario Central 89%88' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 1%, draw 10%, Rosario Central 90%89' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 0%, draw 9%, Rosario Central 91%90' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 0%, draw 8%, Rosario Central 92%90+1' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 0%, draw 7%, Rosario Central 93%90+2' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 0%, draw 6%, Rosario Central 94%90+3' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 0%, draw 5%, Rosario Central 95%90+5' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 0%, draw 2%, Rosario Central 98%90+6' · 2–3 · Atletico Tucuman 0%, draw 1%, Rosario Central 99%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Rosario Central 50% to win: they did.

  1. 3'Rosario Central:Gaston Avila 2064 +18 assist Ángel Di María 1856 +29
  2. 6'Rosario Central:Gaston Avila 2064 +18 assist Giovanni Ismael Cantizano 1695 +52
  3. 10'Atletico Tucuman:César Leonel Vega 1604 −2
  4. 30'Rosario Central:Álan Rodríguez 1933 +23*
  5. 37'Atletico Tucuman:Pedro Alexis Canelo 1406 −6 assist Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez 1616 −12
  6. 38'Atletico Tucuman:Leonel Di Plácido 1666 −10
  7. 42'Atletico Tucuman:Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez 1616 −12 assist Leandro Díaz 1577 −22*
  8. 45'Atletico Tucuman:Ezequiel Ham 1398 −4 for César Leonel Vega 1604 −2
  9. 61'Atletico Tucuman:Leandro Díaz 1577 −22*
  10. 70'Rosario Central:Giovanni Ismael Cantizano 1695 +52
  11. 74'Atletico Tucuman:Ignacio Galvan 1644 −1 for Pedro Alexis Canelo 1406 −6
  12. 75'Atletico Tucuman:Maximiliano Villa 1513 −2 for Leonel Di Plácido 1666 −10
  13. 78'Rosario Central:Julian Fernandez 1883 +5 for Giovanni Ismael Cantizano 1695 +52
  14. 78'Rosario Central:Marco Ruben 1181 −3 for Enzo Copetti 1936 +7
  15. 80'Rosario Central:Julian Fernandez 1883 +5 assist Álan Rodríguez 1933 +23*
  16. 82'Rosario Central:Facundo Mallo 1825 −9* for Emanuel Coronel 1977 +7
  17. 82'Atletico Tucuman:Nicolás Laméndola 1685 −1 for Franco Nicola 1622 −4
  18. 82'Atletico Tucuman:Iván Tesuri 1642 −3 for Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez 1616 −12
  19. 90+5'Rosario Central:Franco Cervi 1619 −4 for Jaminton Campaz 1980 +10
  20. 90+5'Rosario Central:Juan Giménez 1695 0 for Ángel Di María 1856 +29

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-2-3-1
GL. Ingolotti1671−16
DL. Di Plácido1666−10
DC. Ferreira1673−8
DLuciano Vallejo1579−2
DJ. Infante1612−7
ML. Vega1604−2
MA. Canelo1406−6
ML. Godoy1672−8
MF. Nicola1622−4
MR. Ruíz Rodríguez1616−12
FL. Díaz1577−22*
CJ. Falcioni1659−13
GJ. Ledesma1970+8
DE. Coronel1977+7
DIgnacio Ovando1977+10
DG. Ávila2064+18
DA. Sandez2053+7
MA. Rodríguez1933+23*
MV. Pizarro2026+8
MG. Cantizano1695+52
MÁ. Di María1856+29
MJ. Campaz1980+10
FE. Copetti1936+7
CJ. Almirón2005+16
Before kick-off: 22% · 28% · 50%(Atletico Tucuman · draw · Rosario Central)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–3 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Atletico Tucuman €481K, Rosario Central €2.1M.
  • Rosario Central were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Atletico Tucuman

13th in Liga Profesional · 14 pts from 16

  • 9 OctDGimnasia L.P. 1635
  • 3 OctLBarracas Central 1657
  • 21 SepLAldosivi 1650
  • 12 SepLRiver Plate 1671
  • 7 SepWRacing Club 1648

Rosario Central

4th in Liga Profesional · 28 pts from 16

  • 11 OctWIndepend. Rivadavia 1936
  • 6 OctDBanfield 1861
  • 20 SepWArgentinos JRS 1891
  • 13 SepWTigre 1922
  • 6 SepDNewells Old Boys 1935

Season outlook

From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Atletico Tucuman14 /1618.50%0%17%27th
Rosario Central28 /1635.83%47%0%4th
Atletico Tucuman
Rosario Central

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga Profesional Argentina

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

C. Ferreira
C. Ferreira

Atletico Tucuman · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1681

G. Ávila
G. Ávila

Rosario Central · +7.2 (Elite) · Elo 2046

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Julio César Falcioni Capdevila

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Jorge Francisco Almirón Quintana

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Atletico Tucuman: balanced profile (how Julio César Falcioni Capdevila plays) · Rosario Central: balanced profile (how Jorge Francisco Almirón Quintana plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.