Primera División · Clausura - 10
Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Charrúa , Montevideo
Atletico TorqueTeam 1603DanubioTeam 1344We gave Atletico Torque 62% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 62% · 23% · 15%(Atletico Torque · draw · Danubio)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 1–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Atletico Torque €499K, Danubio €194K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico Torque
3rd in Primera División - Apertura · 54 pts from 31
- 5 OctLClub Nacional Uruguay Primera Division1680
- 30 SepDPenarol Uruguay Primera Division1530
- 27 SepLDeportivo Maldonado Uruguay Primera Division1699
- 18 SepWCienciano Copa Sudamericana1696
- 11 SepLCienciano Copa Sudamericana1703
Danubio
15th in Primera División - Apertura · 29 pts from 31
- 4 OctWCerro Largo Uruguay Primera Division1393
- 27 SepLDefensor Sporting Uruguay Primera Division1343
- 20 SepDWanderers Uruguay Primera Division1332
- 13 SepDJuventud Uruguay Primera Division1348
- 5 SepLPenarol Uruguay Primera Division1392
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Torque | 103 /68 | 106.6 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 5th |
| Danubio | 72 /68 | 74.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atletico Torque · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1790
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.