Primera División · Clausura - 12
Atletico Torque vs Cerro
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Atletico Torque host Cerro on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atletico Torque 52%, draw 26%, Cerro 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atletico Torque €444K, Cerro €271K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atletico Torque goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Atletico Torque 1627 · Cerro 1494
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atletico Torque · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1776
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico Torque
3rd in Primera División - Apertura · 57 pts from 33
- 18 OctLAlbion FC Uruguay Primera Division1652
- 14 OctLAtletico-MG Copa Sudamericana1688
- 9 OctWDanubio Uruguay Primera Division1639
- 5 OctLClub Nacional Uruguay Primera Division1680
- 30 SepDPenarol Uruguay Primera Division1530
Cerro
12th in Primera División - Apertura · 37 pts from 33
- 16 OctDCerro Largo Uruguay Primera Division1483
- 10 OctWDefensor Sporting Uruguay Primera Division1488
- 4 OctLWanderers Uruguay Primera Division1497
- 27 SepDJuventud Uruguay Primera Division1513
- 19 SepLPenarol Uruguay Primera Division1505
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Torque | 106 /70 | 107.8 | 0% | 22% | 0% | 5th |
| Cerro | 83 /70 | 83.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –