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Liga MX · Apertura - 11

Atletico San Luis 1–2 Santos Laguna

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis de Potosi

Atletico San Luis crestAtletico San LuisTeam 1719
1–2
Full time
HT 1–1
Santos Laguna crestSantos LagunaTeam 1816

Match story

Atletico San Luis · draw · Santos Laguna

Before kick-off: 37% · 29% · 34%

Live chances: Atletico San Luis 0%, draw 1%, Santos Laguna 99% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 29%, Santos Laguna 34%3' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 29%, Santos Laguna 33%4' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 30%, Santos Laguna 33%5' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 30%, Santos Laguna 33%6' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 30%, Santos Laguna 33%7' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 30%, Santos Laguna 33%8' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 30%, Santos Laguna 33%9' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 30%, Santos Laguna 33%10' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 30%, Santos Laguna 33%11' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 31%, Santos Laguna 33%12' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 31%, Santos Laguna 33%13' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 31%, Santos Laguna 33%14' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 31%, Santos Laguna 33%15' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 31%, Santos Laguna 33%16' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 31%, Santos Laguna 33%17' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 32%, Santos Laguna 33%18' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 32%, Santos Laguna 32%19' · 0–0 · Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 32%, Santos Laguna 32%20' · 1–0 · Atletico San Luis 66%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 12%21' · 1–0 · Atletico San Luis 67%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 12%22' · 1–0 · Atletico San Luis 67%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 12%23' · 1–0 · Atletico San Luis 67%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 12%24' · 1–0 · Atletico San Luis 67%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 11%25' · 1–0 · Atletico San Luis 67%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 11%26' · 1–0 · Atletico San Luis 67%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 11%28' · 1–0 · Atletico San Luis 67%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 11%30' · 1–0 · Atletico San Luis 67%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 11%31' · 1–0 · Atletico San Luis 68%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 11%33' · 1–0 · Atletico San Luis 68%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 10%35' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 34%, draw 36%, Santos Laguna 31%36' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 33%, draw 36%, Santos Laguna 31%37' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 33%, draw 36%, Santos Laguna 31%39' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 33%, draw 37%, Santos Laguna 30%40' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 33%, draw 37%, Santos Laguna 30%41' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 32%, draw 38%, Santos Laguna 30%42' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 32%, draw 38%, Santos Laguna 30%43' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 32%, draw 38%, Santos Laguna 30%44' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 32%, draw 39%, Santos Laguna 30%45' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 32%, draw 39%, Santos Laguna 29%45+1' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 32%, draw 39%, Santos Laguna 29%45+2' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 31%, draw 40%, Santos Laguna 29%HT · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 31%, draw 40%, Santos Laguna 29%47' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 31%, draw 41%, Santos Laguna 29%48' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 31%, draw 41%, Santos Laguna 28%49' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 30%, draw 42%, Santos Laguna 28%50' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 30%, draw 42%, Santos Laguna 28%51' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 30%, draw 43%, Santos Laguna 28%52' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 29%, draw 43%, Santos Laguna 27%53' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 29%, draw 44%, Santos Laguna 27%54' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 29%, draw 44%, Santos Laguna 27%55' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 28%, draw 45%, Santos Laguna 26%56' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 28%, draw 46%, Santos Laguna 26%57' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 28%, draw 46%, Santos Laguna 26%58' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 27%, draw 47%, Santos Laguna 26%59' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 27%, draw 48%, Santos Laguna 25%60' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 27%, draw 49%, Santos Laguna 25%61' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 26%, draw 49%, Santos Laguna 25%62' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 26%, draw 50%, Santos Laguna 24%63' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 25%, draw 51%, Santos Laguna 24%64' · 1–1 · Atletico San Luis 25%, draw 51%, Santos Laguna 24%65' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 6%, draw 23%, Santos Laguna 71%66' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 6%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 72%67' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 6%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 72%68' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 5%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 73%69' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 5%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 73%70' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 5%, draw 21%, Santos Laguna 74%71' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 5%, draw 21%, Santos Laguna 75%72' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 4%, draw 21%, Santos Laguna 75%73' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 4%, draw 20%, Santos Laguna 76%74' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 4%, draw 20%, Santos Laguna 76%75' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 4%, draw 19%, Santos Laguna 77%76' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 3%, draw 19%, Santos Laguna 78%77' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 3%, draw 19%, Santos Laguna 78%78' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 3%, draw 18%, Santos Laguna 79%79' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 3%, draw 17%, Santos Laguna 80%80' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 2%, draw 17%, Santos Laguna 81%81' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 2%, draw 16%, Santos Laguna 82%82' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 2%, draw 16%, Santos Laguna 82%83' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 2%, draw 15%, Santos Laguna 83%84' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 2%, draw 14%, Santos Laguna 84%85' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 1%, draw 14%, Santos Laguna 85%86' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 1%, draw 13%, Santos Laguna 86%87' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 1%, draw 12%, Santos Laguna 87%88' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 1%, draw 11%, Santos Laguna 88%89' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 1%, draw 10%, Santos Laguna 89%90' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 1%, draw 9%, Santos Laguna 90%90+1' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 0%, draw 8%, Santos Laguna 92%90+2' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 0%, draw 7%, Santos Laguna 93%90+3' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 0%, draw 5%, Santos Laguna 95%90+4' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 0%, draw 4%, Santos Laguna 96%90+5' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 0%, draw 2%, Santos Laguna 98%90+6' · 1–2 · Atletico San Luis 0%, draw 1%, Santos Laguna 99%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Atletico San Luis 37% to win: Santos Laguna won.

  1. 19'Atletico San Luis:Oscar Macias 1784 −28* assist Sebastien Salles-lamonge 1816 −37*
  2. 34'Santos Laguna:Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89* assist Ezequiel Bullaude 1948 +40*
  3. 64'Santos Laguna:Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89*
  4. 65'Santos Laguna:Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89*
  5. 69'Santos Laguna:Emmanuel Echeverria 1757 −1* for Ramiro Sordo 1727 +15*
  6. 69'Atletico San Luis:Sebastián Pérez Bouquet 1673 −8* for Anderson Duarte 1753 −17*
  7. 70'Atletico San Luis:Lucas Esteves 1772 −9* for Felipe Mora 1766 −16*
  8. 76'Atletico San Luis:Luis Ronaldo Najera Reyna 1689 −8* for David Rodriguez 1771 −12*
  9. 76'Atletico San Luis:Roberto Meraz 1766 −9* for Aldo Cruz 1811 −16*
  10. 79'Santos Laguna:Aldo Lopez 1693 −4* for Francisco Villalba 1866 +45*
  11. 79'Santos Laguna:Esteban Lozano 1682 −4* for Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89*
  12. 86'Atletico San Luis:Leonardo Flores 1686 −8* for Benjamín Galindo 1755 −12*
  13. 87'Santos Laguna:Eduardo Aguirre 1816 −8* for Ezequiel Bullaude 1948 +40*
  14. 87'Santos Laguna:Kevin Palacios 1759 −7* for Diego González 1874 +13*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations4-2-3-1
GG. Lajud1714−14*
DB. Galindo1755−12*
DA. Cruz1811−16*
DE. Águila1846−18*
MR. Torres1798−15*
MÓ. Macías1784−28*
MA. Duarte1753−17*
MD. Rodríguez1771−12*
FF. Mora1766−16*
Before kick-off: 37% · 29% · 34%(Atletico San Luis · draw · Santos Laguna)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Atletico San Luis €1.1M, Santos Laguna €1.4M.
  • Home advantage made Atletico San Luis the favourite: it added 10 points to their win chance; Liga MX has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
  • Style contrast in discipline (Liga MX): Atletico San Luis ranked #2 of 18, Santos Laguna #17.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Atletico San Luis

14th in Liga MX · 12 pts from 10

  • 27 SepWU.N.A.M. - Pumas 1697
  • 19 SepWNecaxa 1655
  • 15 SepLLeon 1656
  • 5 SepLGuadalajara Chivas 1697
  • 23 AugDCF Pachuca 1734

Santos Laguna

16th in Liga MX · 10 pts from 10

  • 27 SepWCF Pachuca 1825
  • 21 SepWToluca 1729
  • 14 SepWFC Juarez 1740
  • 6 SepLCruz Azul 1685
  • 30 AugDTigres UANL 1693

Season outlook

From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Atletico San Luis12 /1020.70%1%16%14th
Santos Laguna10 /1019.60%<1%24%15th
Atletico San Luis
Santos Laguna

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga MX

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Salles-Lamonge
S. Salles-Lamonge

Atletico San Luis · +2.0 (Good) · Elo 1852

Fran Villalba
Fran Villalba

Santos Laguna · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1821

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Raul Chabrand

Coach DNA: –

Renato Manuel Alves Paiva

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Atletico San Luis: balanced profile (how Raul Chabrand plays) · Santos Laguna: balanced profile (how Renato Manuel Alves Paiva plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.