Liga MX · Apertura - 11
Atletico San Luis 1–2 Santos Laguna
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis de Potosi
Atletico San LuisTeam 1719
Santos LagunaTeam 1816Match story
Atletico San Luis · draw · Santos LagunaBefore kick-off: 37% · 29% · 34%
Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Oscar Macias 19'
- Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 34', 64'
We gave Atletico San Luis 37% to win: Santos Laguna won.
- Oscar Macias 1784 −28* assist Sebastien Salles-lamonge 1816 −37*19'
Atletico San Luis:Oscar Macias 1784 −28* assist Sebastien Salles-lamonge 1816 −37* - 34'Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89* assist Ezequiel Bullaude 1948 +40*
Santos Laguna:Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89* assist Ezequiel Bullaude 1948 +40* - 64'Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89*
Santos Laguna:Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89* - 65'Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89*
Santos Laguna:Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89* - 69'Emmanuel Echeverria 1757 −1* for Ramiro Sordo 1727 +15*
Santos Laguna:Emmanuel Echeverria 1757 −1* for Ramiro Sordo 1727 +15* - Sebastián Pérez Bouquet 1673 −8* for Anderson Duarte 1753 −17*69'
Atletico San Luis:Sebastián Pérez Bouquet 1673 −8* for Anderson Duarte 1753 −17* - Lucas Esteves 1772 −9* for Felipe Mora 1766 −16*70'
Atletico San Luis:Lucas Esteves 1772 −9* for Felipe Mora 1766 −16* - Luis Ronaldo Najera Reyna 1689 −8* for David Rodriguez 1771 −12*76'
Atletico San Luis:Luis Ronaldo Najera Reyna 1689 −8* for David Rodriguez 1771 −12* - Roberto Meraz 1766 −9* for Aldo Cruz 1811 −16*76'
Atletico San Luis:Roberto Meraz 1766 −9* for Aldo Cruz 1811 −16* - 79'Aldo Lopez 1693 −4* for Francisco Villalba 1866 +45*
Santos Laguna:Aldo Lopez 1693 −4* for Francisco Villalba 1866 +45* - 79'Esteban Lozano 1682 −4* for Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89*
Santos Laguna:Esteban Lozano 1682 −4* for Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 1588 +89* - Leonardo Flores 1686 −8* for Benjamín Galindo 1755 −12*86'
Atletico San Luis:Leonardo Flores 1686 −8* for Benjamín Galindo 1755 −12* - 87'Eduardo Aguirre 1816 −8* for Ezequiel Bullaude 1948 +40*
Santos Laguna:Eduardo Aguirre 1816 −8* for Ezequiel Bullaude 1948 +40* - 87'Kevin Palacios 1759 −7* for Diego González 1874 +13*
Santos Laguna:Kevin Palacios 1759 −7* for Diego González 1874 +13*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 37% · 29% · 34%(Atletico San Luis · draw · Santos Laguna)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Atletico San Luis €1.1M, Santos Laguna €1.4M.
- Home advantage made Atletico San Luis the favourite: it added 10 points to their win chance; Liga MX has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- Style contrast in discipline (Liga MX): Atletico San Luis ranked #2 of 18, Santos Laguna #17.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico San Luis
14th in Liga MX · 12 pts from 10
- 27 SepWU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1697
- 19 SepWNecaxa Liga MX1655
- 15 SepLLeon Liga MX1656
- 5 SepLGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1697
- 23 AugDCF Pachuca Liga MX1734
Santos Laguna
16th in Liga MX · 10 pts from 10
- 27 SepWCF Pachuca Liga MX1825
- 21 SepWToluca Liga MX1729
- 14 SepWFC Juarez Liga MX1740
- 6 SepLCruz Azul Liga MX1685
- 30 AugDTigres UANL Liga MX1693
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis | 12 /10 | 20.7 | 0% | 1% | 16% | 14th |
| Santos Laguna | 10 /10 | 19.6 | 0% | <1% | 24% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Atletico San Luis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.0 (Good) · Elo 1852

Santos Laguna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1821
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atletico San Luis: balanced profile (how Raul Chabrand plays) · Santos Laguna: balanced profile (how Renato Manuel Alves Paiva plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.