Liga MX · Apertura - 13
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis de Potosi
Atletico San Luis host Club Queretaro on Wed 21 Oct 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atletico San Luis 41%, draw 29%, Club Queretaro 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atletico San Luis €1.2M, Club Queretaro €1.3M.
- Home advantage makes Atletico San Luis the favourite here: it adds 10 points to their win chance; Liga MX has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- Style contrast in discipline (Liga MX): Atletico San Luis rank #2 of 18, Club Queretaro #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atletico San Luis goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Atletico San Luis 1756 · Club Queretaro 1808
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atletico San Luis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 1824
Club Queretaro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1875
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico San Luis
15th in Liga MX · 13 pts from 12
- 18 OctDToluca Liga MX1732
- 11 OctLSantos Laguna Liga MX1744
- 27 SepWU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1697
- 19 SepWNecaxa Liga MX1655
- 15 SepLLeon Liga MX1656
Club Queretaro
6th in Liga MX · 20 pts from 11
- 17 OctLSantos Laguna Liga MX1883
- 10 OctWAtlante FC Liga MX1836
- 26 SepWGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1872
- 21 SepDLeon Liga MX1875
- 12 SepWClub Tijuana Liga MX1859
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis | 13 /12 | 19.7 | 0% | <1% | 16% | 14th |
| Club Queretaro | 20 /11 | 27.9 | 4% | 39% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atletico San Luis: balanced profile (how Raul Chabrand plays) · Club Queretaro: direct · low-volume (how Esteban Eduardo González Herrera plays)