Serie A · Regular Season - 36
Atletico Paranaense vs Remo
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
Atletico Paranaense host Remo on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atletico Paranaense 58%, draw 24%, Remo 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atletico Paranaense €1.7M, Remo €725K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Série A): Atletico Paranaense rank #3 of 20, Remo #19.
- All 11 of Remo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atletico Paranaense goals first.
- 1–012%
- 1–111%
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 0–07%
- 3–07%
- Other scores42%
Team Elo: Atletico Paranaense 1869 · Remo 1742
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atletico Paranaense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1953
Remo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1776
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico Paranaense
5th in Série A · 54 pts from 34
- 4 NovLVasco Da Gama Brazil Serie A1919
- 30 OctLGremio Brazil Serie A1865
- 24 OctDVitoria Brazil Serie A1868
- 17 OctLPalmeiras Brazil Serie A1901
- 12 OctWChapecoense-SC Brazil Serie A1890
Remo
19th in Série A · 29 pts from 34
- 5 NovLPalmeiras Brazil Serie A1749
- 29 OctWBotafogo Brazil Serie A1725
- 23 OctLCruzeiro Brazil Serie A1702
- 18 OctDRB Bragantino Brazil Serie A1736
- 10 OctDVasco Da Gama Brazil Serie A1678
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense | 54 /34 | 59.2 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 5th |
| Remo | 29 /34 | 33.9 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atletico Paranaense: balanced profile (how Joao Correia plays) · Remo: balanced profile (how Carpini Thiago plays)