Primera A · Clausura - 18
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 23:10 UTC · Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional host Deportivo Pereira on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atletico Nacional 74%, draw 17%, Deportivo Pereira 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atletico Nacional €683K, Deportivo Pereira €203K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Primera A Clausura - 18: 337 points.
- Draw chance 17%, below the Primera A average of 26% this round.
- Primera A: J. Zapata is the highest-rated midfielder (1892).
- Style contrast in attacking (Primera A): Atletico Nacional rank #1 of 22, Deportivo Pereira #19.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atletico Nacional goals first.
- 2–011%
- 3–09%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–18%
- 1–07%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Atletico Nacional 1801 · Deportivo Pereira 1464
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atletico Nacional · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1849
Deportivo Pereira · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1539
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico Nacional
1st in Primera A · 40 pts from 19
- 23 OctWDeportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A1769
- 20 OctLCucuta Colombia Primera A1766
- 17 OctWChico Colombia Primera A1776
- 8 OctDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1781
- 1 OctWJunior Colombia Primera A1757
Deportivo Pereira
20th in Primera A · 10 pts from 19
- 20 OctWChico Colombia Primera A1452
- 14 OctDJunior Colombia Primera A1415
- 10 OctDDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1410
- 4 OctLCucuta Colombia Primera A1459
- 29 SepLSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1442
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | 40 /19 | 49.4 | 94% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Deportivo Pereira | 10 /19 | 14.9 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atletico Nacional: creative · shot-heavy (how L. González plays) · Deportivo Pereira: balanced profile (how Alexis Marquez plays)