Serie A · Regular Season - 36
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC · MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte
Atletico-MG host Corinthians on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atletico-MG 57%, draw 24%, Corinthians 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atletico-MG €3.5M, Corinthians €4.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atletico-MG goals first.
- 1–014%
- 2–012%
- 1–111%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–17%
- Other scores38%
Team Elo: Atletico-MG 1958 · Corinthians 1846
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atletico-MG · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 2044
Corinthians · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1900
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico-MG
7th in Série A · 50 pts from 34
- 7 NovDGremio Brazil Copa do Brasil1999
- 5 NovLBotafogo Brazil Serie A1860
- 1 NovLGremio Brazil Copa do Brasil2028
- 29 OctLCruzeiro Brazil Serie A2007
- 26 OctLFlamengo Brazil Serie A2034
Corinthians
17th in Série A · 37 pts from 34
- 5 NovDSao Paulo Brazil Serie A1889
- 30 OctWMirassol Brazil Serie A1876
- 24 OctLVasco Da Gama Brazil Serie A1827
- 19 OctDVitoria Brazil Serie A1830
- 11 OctLPalmeiras Brazil Serie A1853
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 50 /34 | 56.0 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7th |
| Corinthians | 37 /34 | 42.3 | 0% | 0% | 27% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atletico-MG: possession-based (how E. Domínguez plays) · Corinthians: balanced profile (how Clarence Seedorf plays)