Serie B · Regular Season - 33
Atletico Goianiense 1–1 Sport Recife
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 19:10 UTC · Estadio Antonio Accioly, Goiania
Atletico GoianienseTeam 1745
Sport RecifeTeam 1730Match story
Atletico Goianiense · draw · Sport RecifeBefore kick-off: 47% · 28% · 25%
Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 98% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Geovany Soares 45+4'
We gave Atletico Goianiense 47% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 45'Diego·Hernandez 1719 −6* for Juan 1692 0
Sport Recife:Diego·Hernandez 1719 −6* for Juan 1692 0 - 45'Kervin Andrade 1543 +3 for Carlos María de Pena Bonino 1544 −4
Sport Recife:Kervin Andrade 1543 +3 for Carlos María de Pena Bonino 1544 −4 - 45'Pedro Henrique Perotti 1743 +3 for Neto Pessoa 1680 −2
Sport Recife:Pedro Henrique Perotti 1743 +3 for Neto Pessoa 1680 −2 - Geovany Soares 1718 −1 assist Leandro Vilela 1691 −11*45+4'
Atletico Goianiense:Geovany Soares 1718 −1 assist Leandro Vilela 1691 −11* - 52' José Gabriel dos Santos Silva 1676 +2 for Willian Oliveira 1735 −3
Sport Recife: José Gabriel dos Santos Silva 1676 +2 for Willian Oliveira 1735 −3 - 65'Marcelo Benevenuto 1751 0
Sport Recife:Marcelo Benevenuto 1751 0 - 71'Diego·Hernandez 1719 −6*
Sport Recife:Diego·Hernandez 1719 −6* - Matheuzinho 1613 −1 for Bruno José 1679 −174'
Atletico Goianiense:Matheuzinho 1613 −1 for Bruno José 1679 −1 - Henrique 1294 −1 for José Domingos de Moraes Neto 1656 −174'
Atletico Goianiense:Henrique 1294 −1 for José Domingos de Moraes Neto 1656 −1 - 78'Arthur Maron Cruz 1487 +1 for Patrick de Paula Carreiro 1745 +2
Sport Recife:Arthur Maron Cruz 1487 +1 for Patrick de Paula Carreiro 1745 +2 - Leandro Vilela 1691 −11*81'
Atletico Goianiense:Leandro Vilela 1691 −11* - Cristiano Claudinei Nogueira 1692 0 for Leandro Vilela 1691 −11*81'
Atletico Goianiense:Cristiano Claudinei Nogueira 1692 0 for Leandro Vilela 1691 −11* - Yuri 1577 −2 for Guilherme Lopes 1846 −481'
Atletico Goianiense:Yuri 1577 −2 for Guilherme Lopes 1846 −4 - 83'Pedro Henrique Perotti 1743 +3
Sport Recife:Pedro Henrique Perotti 1743 +3
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 47% · 28% · 25%(Atletico Goianiense · draw · Sport Recife)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Atletico Goianiense €485K, Sport Recife €793K.
- Home advantage made Atletico Goianiense the favourite: it added 11 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico Goianiense
6th in Serie B · 52 pts from 32
- 7 OctLCRB Brazil Serie B1754
- 3 OctWAmerica Mineiro Brazil Serie B1751
- 26 SepWGoias Brazil Serie B1719
- 19 SepLSão Bernardo Brazil Serie B1683
- 13 SepWCriciuma Brazil Serie B1635
Sport Recife
8th in Serie B · 50 pts from 32
- 6 OctWSão Bernardo Brazil Serie B1710
- 1 OctWAthletic Club Brazil Serie B1680
- 26 SepLNautico Recife Brazil Serie B1710
- 19 SepWJuventude Brazil Serie B1693
- 16 SepLCRB Brazil Serie B1698
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense | 52 /32 | 60.5 | 1% | 17% | 0% | 6th |
| Sport Recife | 50 /32 | 59.0 | <1% | 9% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Atletico Goianiense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1806

Sport Recife · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1829
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atletico Goianiense: balanced profile (how Roger Rodrigues da Silva plays) · Sport Recife: balanced profile (how Mariano Andrés Soso plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.