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Liga MX · Apertura - 11

Atlas 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

Atlas crestAtlasTeam 1860
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Guadalajara Chivas crestGuadalajara ChivasTeam 2008

Match story

Atlas · draw · Guadalajara Chivas

Before kick-off: 34% · 29% · 38%

Live chances: Atlas 0%, draw 100%, Guadalajara Chivas 0% at 90+10'1' · 0–0 · Atlas 34%, draw 29%, Guadalajara Chivas 38%2' · 0–0 · Atlas 34%, draw 29%, Guadalajara Chivas 38%3' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 29%, Guadalajara Chivas 38%4' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 29%, Guadalajara Chivas 37%6' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 29%, Guadalajara Chivas 37%7' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 29%, Guadalajara Chivas 37%9' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 30%, Guadalajara Chivas 37%10' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 30%, Guadalajara Chivas 37%11' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 30%, Guadalajara Chivas 37%12' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 30%, Guadalajara Chivas 37%14' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 31%, Guadalajara Chivas 37%15' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 31%, Guadalajara Chivas 36%16' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 31%, Guadalajara Chivas 36%18' · 0–0 · Atlas 33%, draw 31%, Guadalajara Chivas 36%20' · 0–0 · Atlas 32%, draw 32%, Guadalajara Chivas 36%21' · 0–0 · Atlas 32%, draw 32%, Guadalajara Chivas 36%22' · 0–0 · Atlas 32%, draw 32%, Guadalajara Chivas 36%23' · 0–0 · Atlas 32%, draw 32%, Guadalajara Chivas 36%24' · 0–0 · Atlas 32%, draw 33%, Guadalajara Chivas 35%25' · 0–0 · Atlas 32%, draw 33%, Guadalajara Chivas 35%26' · 0–0 · Atlas 32%, draw 33%, Guadalajara Chivas 35%27' · 0–0 · Atlas 32%, draw 33%, Guadalajara Chivas 35%28' · 0–0 · Atlas 32%, draw 33%, Guadalajara Chivas 35%29' · 0–0 · Atlas 32%, draw 34%, Guadalajara Chivas 35%30' · 0–0 · Atlas 31%, draw 34%, Guadalajara Chivas 35%31' · 0–0 · Atlas 31%, draw 34%, Guadalajara Chivas 35%32' · 0–0 · Atlas 31%, draw 34%, Guadalajara Chivas 34%33' · 0–0 · Atlas 31%, draw 35%, Guadalajara Chivas 34%34' · 0–0 · Atlas 31%, draw 35%, Guadalajara Chivas 34%35' · 0–0 · Atlas 31%, draw 35%, Guadalajara Chivas 34%36' · 0–0 · Atlas 31%, draw 35%, Guadalajara Chivas 34%37' · 0–0 · Atlas 31%, draw 36%, Guadalajara Chivas 34%38' · 0–0 · Atlas 30%, draw 36%, Guadalajara Chivas 33%39' · 0–0 · Atlas 30%, draw 36%, Guadalajara Chivas 33%40' · 0–0 · Atlas 30%, draw 37%, Guadalajara Chivas 33%41' · 0–0 · Atlas 30%, draw 37%, Guadalajara Chivas 33%42' · 0–0 · Atlas 30%, draw 37%, Guadalajara Chivas 33%43' · 0–0 · Atlas 30%, draw 38%, Guadalajara Chivas 33%44' · 0–0 · Atlas 30%, draw 38%, Guadalajara Chivas 32%45' · 0–0 · Atlas 29%, draw 38%, Guadalajara Chivas 32%45+1' · 0–0 · Atlas 29%, draw 39%, Guadalajara Chivas 32%45+2' · 0–0 · Atlas 29%, draw 39%, Guadalajara Chivas 32%45+3' · 0–0 · Atlas 29%, draw 40%, Guadalajara Chivas 32%45+4' · 0–0 · Atlas 29%, draw 40%, Guadalajara Chivas 31%HT · 0–0 · Atlas 29%, draw 40%, Guadalajara Chivas 31%47' · 0–0 · Atlas 29%, draw 40%, Guadalajara Chivas 31%48' · 0–0 · Atlas 28%, draw 41%, Guadalajara Chivas 31%49' · 0–0 · Atlas 28%, draw 41%, Guadalajara Chivas 31%50' · 0–0 · Atlas 28%, draw 42%, Guadalajara Chivas 30%51' · 0–0 · Atlas 28%, draw 42%, Guadalajara Chivas 30%52' · 1–0 · Atlas 69%, draw 23%, Guadalajara Chivas 8%53' · 1–0 · Atlas 70%, draw 23%, Guadalajara Chivas 8%54' · 1–0 · Atlas 70%, draw 22%, Guadalajara Chivas 7%55' · 1–0 · Atlas 70%, draw 22%, Guadalajara Chivas 7%56' · 1–0 · Atlas 71%, draw 22%, Guadalajara Chivas 7%57' · 1–0 · Atlas 71%, draw 22%, Guadalajara Chivas 7%58' · 1–0 · Atlas 72%, draw 22%, Guadalajara Chivas 7%59' · 1–0 · Atlas 72%, draw 22%, Guadalajara Chivas 6%60' · 1–0 · Atlas 72%, draw 22%, Guadalajara Chivas 6%61' · 1–0 · Atlas 73%, draw 21%, Guadalajara Chivas 6%62' · 1–0 · Atlas 73%, draw 21%, Guadalajara Chivas 6%63' · 1–0 · Atlas 74%, draw 21%, Guadalajara Chivas 5%64' · 1–0 · Atlas 74%, draw 21%, Guadalajara Chivas 5%65' · 1–0 · Atlas 74%, draw 21%, Guadalajara Chivas 5%66' · 1–0 · Atlas 75%, draw 20%, Guadalajara Chivas 5%67' · 1–0 · Atlas 75%, draw 20%, Guadalajara Chivas 5%68' · 1–0 · Atlas 76%, draw 20%, Guadalajara Chivas 4%69' · 1–0 · Atlas 76%, draw 20%, Guadalajara Chivas 4%70' · 1–0 · Atlas 77%, draw 19%, Guadalajara Chivas 4%71' · 1–0 · Atlas 77%, draw 19%, Guadalajara Chivas 4%72' · 1–0 · Atlas 78%, draw 19%, Guadalajara Chivas 3%73' · 1–0 · Atlas 78%, draw 18%, Guadalajara Chivas 3%75' · 1–0 · Atlas 79%, draw 18%, Guadalajara Chivas 3%76' · 1–0 · Atlas 80%, draw 17%, Guadalajara Chivas 3%77' · 1–0 · Atlas 81%, draw 17%, Guadalajara Chivas 3%78' · 1–0 · Atlas 81%, draw 16%, Guadalajara Chivas 2%79' · 1–0 · Atlas 82%, draw 16%, Guadalajara Chivas 2%80' · 1–0 · Atlas 83%, draw 15%, Guadalajara Chivas 2%81' · 1–0 · Atlas 83%, draw 15%, Guadalajara Chivas 2%82' · 1–0 · Atlas 84%, draw 14%, Guadalajara Chivas 2%83' · 1–0 · Atlas 85%, draw 14%, Guadalajara Chivas 1%84' · 1–0 · Atlas 86%, draw 13%, Guadalajara Chivas 1%85' · 1–0 · Atlas 87%, draw 12%, Guadalajara Chivas 1%86' · 1–0 · Atlas 87%, draw 12%, Guadalajara Chivas 1%87' · 1–1 · Atlas 11%, draw 78%, Guadalajara Chivas 12%88' · 1–1 · Atlas 10%, draw 79%, Guadalajara Chivas 11%89' · 1–1 · Atlas 9%, draw 81%, Guadalajara Chivas 10%90' · 1–1 · Atlas 8%, draw 83%, Guadalajara Chivas 9%90+1' · 1–1 · Atlas 7%, draw 86%, Guadalajara Chivas 7%90+2' · 1–1 · Atlas 6%, draw 88%, Guadalajara Chivas 6%90+3' · 1–1 · Atlas 5%, draw 90%, Guadalajara Chivas 5%90+4' · 1–1 · Atlas 3%, draw 93%, Guadalajara Chivas 4%90+5' · 1–1 · Atlas 2%, draw 96%, Guadalajara Chivas 2%90+6' · 1–1 · Atlas 1%, draw 99%, Guadalajara Chivas 1%90+7' · 1–1 · Atlas 0%, draw 100%, Guadalajara Chivas 0%90+8' · 1–1 · Atlas 0%, draw 100%, Guadalajara Chivas 0%90+9' · 1–1 · Atlas 0%, draw 100%, Guadalajara Chivas 0%90+10' · 1–1 · Atlas 0%, draw 100%, Guadalajara Chivas 0%

Last reading, 90+10': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Guadalajara Chivas 38% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 26'Atlas:Juan Sánchez 1970 −9*
  2. 30'Guadalajara Chivas:Richard Ledezma 2084 −7*
  3. 41'Guadalajara Chivas:Daniel Aguirre 2005 −7*
  4. 45'Guadalajara Chivas:Carlos Hernandez 1746 −6* for Diego Campillo 2137 −7*
  5. 52'Atlas:Kevin Zenon 1869 −8* assist Paulo Ramirez 1806 −8*
  6. 63'Atlas:Florián Monzón 1803 −8*
  7. 65'Atlas:Edgar Zaldívar 1861 −10* for Paulo Ramirez 1806 −8*
  8. 66'Guadalajara Chivas:Kevin Castañeda 1943 −7* for Leonel Calderón Oviedo 1746 −6*
  9. 66'Guadalajara Chivas:Hugo Camberos 1845 −7* for Ricardo Marín 1957 −7*
  10. 66'Guadalajara Chivas:Santiago Sandoval 1801 −7* for Richard Ledezma 2084 −7*
  11. 76'Guadalajara Chivas:Ángel Sepúlveda 1898 −10* (penalty missed)
  12. 82'Atlas:Aldo Rocha 1782 −13* for Elías Montiel 2007 −8*
  13. 84'Guadalajara Chivas:Kevin Castañeda 1943 −7*
  14. 86'Guadalajara Chivas:Ángel Sepúlveda 1898 −10* assist Brian Gutierrez 2072 −4*
  15. 87'Atlas:Sergio Hernández 1867 −8* for Ryan Mmaee 1943 −9*
  16. 89'Guadalajara Chivas:Santiago Sandoval 1801 −7*
  17. 90+1'Guadalajara Chivas:Efrain Alvarez – for Roberto Alvarado 2211 −8*
  18. 90+8'Guadalajara Chivas:Kevin Castañeda 1943 −7*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations3-4-2-1
GC. Vargas1925−13*
DA. Frías1887−9*
DM. Valenzuela1826−8*
DJ. Purata1970−9*
MJ. Sánchez2088−9*
ME. Montiel2007−8*
MPaulo Ramírez1806−8*
MR. Mmaee1943−9*
MK. Zenón1869−8*
MLuís Esteves1914−9*
FF. Monzón1803−8*
CH. Crespo1970−8*
GJ. Rangel2237−6*
DD. Aguirre2005−7*
DD. Campillo2137−7*
DL. Rey1827−5*
MR. Ledezma2084−7*
MB. Gutiérrez2072−4*
MR. González2044−11*
ML. Calderon1746−6*
MR. Alvarado2211−8*
MR. Marín1957−7*
FÁ. Sepúlveda1898−10*
CG. Milito2111−6*
Before kick-off: 34% · 29% · 38%(Atlas · draw · Guadalajara Chivas)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Atlas €2.4M, Guadalajara Chivas €4.1M.
  • Liga MX: J. Rangel was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2243).
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Liga MX): Atlas ranked #16 of 18, Guadalajara Chivas #3.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Atlas

6th in Liga MX · 17 pts from 10

  • 26 SepWClub Tijuana 1880
  • 19 SepDU.N.A.M. - Pumas 1891
  • 12 SepLToluca 1878
  • 6 SepDAtlante FC 1902
  • 29 AugLClub Queretaro 1867

Guadalajara Chivas

3rd in Liga MX · 18 pts from 10

  • 26 SepLClub Queretaro 1997
  • 20 SepDClub America 2078
  • 14 SepWU.N.A.M. - Pumas 2007
  • 5 SepWAtletico San Luis 1985
  • 29 AugDCF Pachuca 2013

Season outlook

From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Atlas17 /1027.34%31%<1%5th
Guadalajara Chivas18 /1029.515%66%0%2nd
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga MX

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

C. Vargas
C. Vargas

Atlas · +1.0 (Average) · Elo 1938

R. Alvarado
R. Alvarado

Guadalajara Chivas · +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2219

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Hernán Jorge Crespo

Coach DNA: possession-based

Gabriel Alejandro Milito

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Atlas: direct (how Hernán Jorge Crespo plays) · Guadalajara Chivas: balanced profile (how Gabriel Alejandro Milito plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.