Liga MX · Apertura - 13
Atlas vs Club America
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Atlas host Club America on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atlas 35%, draw 29%, Club America 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atlas €2.5M, Club America €4.9M.
- Style contrast in possession (Liga MX): Atlas rank #15 of 18, Club America #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atlas goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Atlas 1922 · Club America 2049
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atlas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Average) · Elo 1961
Club America · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2142
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atlas
3rd in Liga MX · 21 pts from 12
- 17 OctWNecaxa Liga MX1913
- 11 OctDGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1921
- 26 SepWClub Tijuana Liga MX1880
- 19 SepDU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1891
- 12 SepLToluca Liga MX1878
Club America
1st in Liga MX · 24 pts from 11
- 18 OctWLeon Liga MX2047
- 11 OctDMonterrey Liga MX2081
- 28 SepWNecaxa Liga MX1973
- 20 SepDGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX2028
- 13 SepLCruz Azul Liga MX2055
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 21 /12 | 29.0 | 8% | 54% | 0% | 3rd |
| Club America | 24 /11 | 33.4 | 64% | 95% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · high-pressing
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atlas: direct (how Hernán Jorge Crespo plays) · Club America: balanced profile (how Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves plays)