Liga MX · Apertura - 16
Atlas vs CF Pachuca
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Atlas host CF Pachuca on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atlas 48%, draw 27%, CF Pachuca 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atlas €2.5M, CF Pachuca €2.4M.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Liga MX): Atlas rank #16 of 18, CF Pachuca #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atlas goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Atlas 1918 · CF Pachuca 1883
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atlas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Average) · Elo 1951
CF Pachuca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1940
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atlas
6th in Liga MX · 21 pts from 13
- 22 OctLClub America Liga MX1938
- 17 OctWNecaxa Liga MX1913
- 11 OctDGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1921
- 26 SepWClub Tijuana Liga MX1880
- 19 SepDU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1891
CF Pachuca
16th in Liga MX · 13 pts from 13
- 22 OctLCruz Azul Liga MX1840
- 19 OctLMonterrey Liga MX1905
- 11 OctDNecaxa Liga MX1921
- 27 SepLSantos Laguna Liga MX1928
- 21 SepDClub Tijuana Liga MX1957
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 21 /13 | 27.6 | <1% | 32% | 0% | 5th |
| CF Pachuca | 13 /13 | 17.4 | 0% | 0% | 36% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atlas: balanced profile (how H. Crespo plays) · CF Pachuca: dribble-heavy (how B. Mora plays)