Liga MX · Apertura - 12
Atlante FC 1–2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Atlante FCTeam 1611
U.N.A.M. - PumasTeam 1967Match story
Atlante FC · draw · U.N.A.M. - PumasBefore kick-off: 20% · 25% · 55%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 1% · 99%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Luis Calzadilla 45+1'
- Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior 42', 72'
We gave U.N.A.M. - Pumas 55% to win: they did.
- Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre34'
Atlante FC:Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre - Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre34'
Atlante FC:Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre - 42'Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior 2022 +23 assist Robert Morales 2124 +8
U.N.A.M. - Pumas:Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior 2022 +23 assist Robert Morales 2124 +8 - Luis Calzadilla 1629 −1 assist Edgar Jiménez 1410 045+1'
Atlante FC:Luis Calzadilla 1629 −1 assist Edgar Jiménez 1410 0 - Aarón Quirós 1772 −447'
Atlante FC:Aarón Quirós 1772 −4 - 63'Victor Arteaga 1860 +4 for Alan Medina 1948 +7
U.N.A.M. - Pumas:Victor Arteaga 1860 +4 for Alan Medina 1948 +7 - 70'Pablo Bennevendo 2001 +10
U.N.A.M. - Pumas:Pablo Bennevendo 2001 +10 - Diogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar 1663 0 for Edgar Jiménez 1410 071'
Atlante FC:Diogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar 1663 0 for Edgar Jiménez 1410 0 - 72'Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior 2022 +23 assist Adalberto Carrasquilla 2076 +21
U.N.A.M. - Pumas:Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior 2022 +23 assist Adalberto Carrasquilla 2076 +21 - Christian Bermudez 1276 −14 for Aarón Quirós 1772 −476'
Atlante FC:Christian Bermudez 1276 −14 for Aarón Quirós 1772 −4 - 85'Álvaro Angulo 2123 −9* for Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior 2022 +23
U.N.A.M. - Pumas:Álvaro Angulo 2123 −9* for Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior 2022 +23 - Jairon Charcopa 1319 −8* for Eduardo Tercero 1727 −586'
Atlante FC:Jairon Charcopa 1319 −8* for Eduardo Tercero 1727 −5 - Joaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa 1588 0 for Eugenio Pizzuto 1590 086'
Atlante FC:Joaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa 1588 0 for Eugenio Pizzuto 1590 0 - Walter Portales 1649 090+2'
Atlante FC:Walter Portales 1649 0 - 90+5'Santiago Lopez 1562 −7* for Carlos Antuna 2037 +8
U.N.A.M. - Pumas:Santiago Lopez 1562 −7* for Carlos Antuna 2037 +8
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 20% · 25% · 55%(Atlante FC · draw · U.N.A.M. - Pumas)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–2 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Atlante FC €487K, U.N.A.M. - Pumas €4.2M.
- Atlante FC's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atlante FC
16th in Liga MX · 11 pts from 11
- 10 OctLClub Queretaro Liga MX1700
- 26 SepWMonterrey Liga MX1640
- 19 SepDPuebla Liga MX1596
- 12 SepLCF Pachuca Liga MX1645
- 6 SepDAtlas Liga MX1609
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12th in Liga MX · 13 pts from 11
- 12 OctDCruz Azul Liga MX2044
- 27 SepLAtletico San Luis Liga MX1930
- 19 SepDAtlas Liga MX2013
- 14 SepLGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX2021
- 11 SepWLeon Liga MX1999
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlante FC | 11 /11 | 16.6 | 0% | 0% | 41% | 16th |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 13 /11 | 22.9 | <1% | 5% | 1% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Atlante FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1654

U.N.A.M. - Pumas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2193
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: low-block
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.