Liga MX · Apertura - 16
Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Atlante FC host Santos Laguna on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atlante FC 29%, draw 29%, Santos Laguna 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atlante FC €527K, Santos Laguna €1.9M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Liga MX Apertura - 16: 209 points.
- Atlante FC's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.5 over 180 days.
- Santos Laguna have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atlante FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Atlante FC 1693 · Santos Laguna 1902
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atlante FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1761
Santos Laguna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2057
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atlante FC
15th in Liga MX · 14 pts from 13
- 21 OctWFC Juarez Liga MX1663
- 17 OctLU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1666
- 10 OctLClub Queretaro Liga MX1700
- 26 SepWMonterrey Liga MX1640
- 19 SepDPuebla Liga MX1596
Santos Laguna
9th in Liga MX · 19 pts from 13
- 22 OctWU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1926
- 17 OctWClub Queretaro Liga MX1870
- 11 OctWAtletico San Luis Liga MX1839
- 27 SepWCF Pachuca Liga MX1825
- 21 SepWToluca Liga MX1729
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlante FC | 14 /13 | 17.9 | 0% | 0% | 34% | 15th |
| Santos Laguna | 19 /13 | 24.9 | 0% | 9% | <1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile