Liga MX · Apertura - 14
Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Atlante FC host Atletico San Luis on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atlante FC 39%, draw 29%, Atletico San Luis 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atlante FC €508K, Atletico San Luis €1.2M.
- Home advantage makes Atlante FC the favourite here: it adds 10 points to their win chance; Liga MX has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- Atlante FC's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.5 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atlante FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Atlante FC 1679 · Atletico San Luis 1756
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atlante FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1711
Atletico San Luis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 1824
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atlante FC
16th in Liga MX · 11 pts from 12
- 17 OctLU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1666
- 10 OctLClub Queretaro Liga MX1700
- 26 SepWMonterrey Liga MX1640
- 19 SepDPuebla Liga MX1596
- 12 SepLCF Pachuca Liga MX1645
Atletico San Luis
15th in Liga MX · 13 pts from 12
- 18 OctDToluca Liga MX1732
- 11 OctLSantos Laguna Liga MX1744
- 27 SepWU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1697
- 19 SepWNecaxa Liga MX1655
- 15 SepLLeon Liga MX1656
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlante FC | 11 /12 | 15.7 | 0% | 0% | 71% | 17th |
| Atletico San Luis | 13 /12 | 19.7 | 0% | <1% | 16% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: –