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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28

Atlanta United FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta

Atlanta United FC crestAtlanta United FCTeam 1898
1–3
Full time
HT 0–0
FC Cincinnati crestFC CincinnatiTeam 1902

Match story

Atlanta United FC · draw · FC Cincinnati

Before kick-off: 46% · 25% · 29%

Live chances: Atlanta United FC 0%, draw 0%, FC Cincinnati 100% at 90+10'2' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 46%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 29%3' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 46%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 29%4' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 46%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 29%5' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 46%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 29%6' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 46%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 29%7' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 46%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 29%8' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 46%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 29%9' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 45%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 29%10' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 45%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 29%11' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 45%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 29%12' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 45%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 29%13' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 45%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 29%14' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 45%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 29%15' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 45%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 29%16' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 44%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 29%17' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 44%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 28%18' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 44%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 28%19' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 44%, draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 28%20' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 44%, draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 28%21' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 44%, draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 28%22' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 43%, draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 28%23' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 43%, draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 28%24' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 43%, draw 29%, FC Cincinnati 28%25' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 43%, draw 29%, FC Cincinnati 28%26' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 43%, draw 29%, FC Cincinnati 28%27' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 43%, draw 29%, FC Cincinnati 28%28' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 42%, draw 29%, FC Cincinnati 28%29' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 42%, draw 30%, FC Cincinnati 28%30' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 42%, draw 30%, FC Cincinnati 28%31' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 42%, draw 30%, FC Cincinnati 28%32' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 42%, draw 30%, FC Cincinnati 28%33' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 41%, draw 31%, FC Cincinnati 28%34' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 41%, draw 31%, FC Cincinnati 28%35' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 41%, draw 31%, FC Cincinnati 28%36' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 41%, draw 31%, FC Cincinnati 28%37' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 41%, draw 32%, FC Cincinnati 28%38' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 40%, draw 32%, FC Cincinnati 28%39' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 40%, draw 32%, FC Cincinnati 28%40' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 40%, draw 33%, FC Cincinnati 27%41' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 40%, draw 33%, FC Cincinnati 27%42' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 40%, draw 33%, FC Cincinnati 27%43' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 39%, draw 34%, FC Cincinnati 27%44' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 39%, draw 34%, FC Cincinnati 27%45' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 39%, draw 34%, FC Cincinnati 27%45+1' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 39%, draw 35%, FC Cincinnati 27%HT · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 38%, draw 36%, FC Cincinnati 27%46' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 38%, draw 36%, FC Cincinnati 27%47' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 38%, draw 36%, FC Cincinnati 26%48' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 37%, draw 36%, FC Cincinnati 26%49' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 37%, draw 37%, FC Cincinnati 26%50' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 37%, draw 37%, FC Cincinnati 26%51' · 0–0 · Atlanta United FC 36%, draw 38%, FC Cincinnati 26%52' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 14%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 59%53' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 14%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 60%54' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 14%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 60%55' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 13%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 61%56' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 13%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 61%57' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 12%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 62%58' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 12%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 62%59' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 11%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 63%60' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 11%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 63%61' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 11%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 64%62' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 10%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 64%63' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 10%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 65%64' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 10%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 65%65' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 9%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 66%66' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 9%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 66%67' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 8%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 67%68' · 0–1 · Atlanta United FC 8%, draw 24%, FC Cincinnati 68%69' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 28%, draw 51%, FC Cincinnati 21%70' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 28%, draw 52%, FC Cincinnati 21%71' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 27%, draw 53%, FC Cincinnati 21%72' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 26%, draw 53%, FC Cincinnati 20%73' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 26%, draw 55%, FC Cincinnati 20%74' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 25%, draw 56%, FC Cincinnati 19%75' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 24%, draw 57%, FC Cincinnati 19%76' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 24%, draw 58%, FC Cincinnati 18%77' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 23%, draw 59%, FC Cincinnati 18%78' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 22%, draw 60%, FC Cincinnati 17%79' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 21%, draw 62%, FC Cincinnati 17%80' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 21%, draw 63%, FC Cincinnati 16%81' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 20%, draw 65%, FC Cincinnati 16%82' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 19%, draw 66%, FC Cincinnati 15%83' · 1–1 · Atlanta United FC 18%, draw 68%, FC Cincinnati 14%84' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 2%, draw 17%, FC Cincinnati 81%85' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 2%, draw 16%, FC Cincinnati 82%86' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 2%, draw 15%, FC Cincinnati 83%87' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 2%, draw 14%, FC Cincinnati 84%88' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 1%, draw 13%, FC Cincinnati 85%89' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 1%, draw 12%, FC Cincinnati 87%90' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 1%, draw 11%, FC Cincinnati 88%90+1' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 1%, draw 10%, FC Cincinnati 90%90+2' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 0%, draw 8%, FC Cincinnati 91%90+3' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 0%, draw 7%, FC Cincinnati 93%90+4' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 0%, draw 5%, FC Cincinnati 95%90+5' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 0%, draw 3%, FC Cincinnati 97%90+6' · 1–2 · Atlanta United FC 0%, draw 1%, FC Cincinnati 99%90+7' · 1–3 · Atlanta United FC 0%, draw 0%, FC Cincinnati 100%90+8' · 1–3 · Atlanta United FC 0%, draw 0%, FC Cincinnati 100%90+9' · 1–3 · Atlanta United FC 0%, draw 0%, FC Cincinnati 100%90+10' · 1–3 · Atlanta United FC 0%, draw 0%, FC Cincinnati 100%

Last reading, 90+10': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Atlanta United FC 46% to win: FC Cincinnati won.

  1. 2'FC Cincinnati:Teenage Hadebe 1926 +29*
  2. 43'Atlanta United FC:Tomás Jacob 1957 −8*
  3. 52'FC Cincinnati:Kevin Denkey 2056 +77* assist Tom Barlow 1869 +128*
  4. 56'Atlanta United FC:Aleksey Miranchuk 1918 −10* for Ajani Fortune 1889 −8*
  5. 60'FC Cincinnati:Ender Jesús Echenique Peña 1918 +27* for David Douděra 1966 +14*
  6. 69'Atlanta United FC:Miguel Almirón 1950 −12* assist Breel Embolo 2253 −27*
  7. 72'FC Cincinnati:Bryan Ramirez 1948 −1* for Tyrell Malacia 2208 +4*
  8. 72'FC Cincinnati:Julian Malatini 1882 +1* for Miles Robinson 1975 +18*
  9. 78'FC Cincinnati:Tah Anunga 1915 −5* for Obinna Nwobodo 1936 +23*
  10. 78'FC Cincinnati:Gerardo Valenzuela 1937 −3* for Samuel Mawuena Gidi 1963 +23*
  11. 84'FC Cincinnati:Tom Barlow 1869 +128* assist Kyle Smith 1817 +35*
  12. 86'Atlanta United FC:Fafà Picault 1611 −7 for Giuliano Galoppo 1978 −8*
  13. 86'Atlanta United FC:Cooper Sanchez 1824 −8* for Tristan Muyumba 1917 −9*
  14. 88'FC Cincinnati:Julian Malatini 1882 +1*
  15. 90+2'Atlanta United FC:Sergi Santos 1720 −11* for Elías Báez 1937 −8*
  16. 90+4'FC Cincinnati:Tom Barlow 1869 +128*
  17. 90+4'Atlanta United FC:Mauricio Amaro 1602 −8*
  18. 90+7'FC Cincinnati:Kevin Denkey 2056 +77* assist Ender Jesús Echenique Peña 1918 +27*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-1-2Formations3-5-2
GL. Hoyos1834−13*
DT. Jacob1957−8*
DJ. Alonso2039−13*
DE. Mihaj1842−8*
DE. Báez1937−8*
MG. Galoppo1978−8*
MM. Amaro1602−8*
MT. Muyumba1917−9*
MA. Fortune1889−8*
FB. Embolo2253−27*
FM. Almirón1950−12*
CG. Martino2024−8*
GE. Louro1757+48*
DK. Smith1817+35*
DM. Robinson1975+18*
DT. Hadebe1926+29*
MD. Douděra1966+14*
MP. Bucha2057+85
MS. Gidi1963+23*
MO. Nwobodo1936+23*
MT. Malacia2208+4*
FK. Denkey2056+77*
FT. Barlow1869+128*
CPat Noonan1998+56*
Before kick-off: 46% · 25% · 29%(Atlanta United FC · draw · FC Cincinnati)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 1–3 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Atlanta United FC €2.9M, FC Cincinnati €2.7M.
  • FC Cincinnati were without 1 expected starter: Evander (1970).
  • MLS: B. Embolo was the highest-rated forward (2280).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Atlanta United FC

14th in MLS · 27 pts from 27

  • 26 SepDNew York City FC 1870
  • 20 SepWPortland Timbers 1908
  • 12 SepDDC United 1926
  • 9 SepLOrlando City SC 1943
  • 5 SepDInter Miami 1902

FC Cincinnati

10th in MLS · 33 pts from 26

  • 26 SepLCF Montreal 1880
  • 20 SepDHouston Dynamo 1934
  • 12 SepDCharlotte 1907
  • 9 SepLPhiladelphia Union 1914
  • 30 AugLNashville SC 1978

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Atlanta United FC27 /2737.00%0%26%28th
FC Cincinnati33 /2643.40%0%<1%16th
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Galoppo
G. Galoppo

Atlanta United FC · +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1986

K. Denkey
K. Denkey

FC Cincinnati · +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1980

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gerardo Daniel Martino

Coach DNA: possession-based

Patrick John Noonan

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Atlanta United FC: balanced profile (how Gerardo Daniel Martino plays) · FC Cincinnati: dribble-heavy (how Patrick John Noonan plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.