Indian Super League · Regular Season - 3
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
ATK Mohun Bagan host Chennaiyin on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Indian Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: ATK Mohun Bagan 56%, draw 25%, Chennaiyin 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: ATK Mohun Bagan €292K, Chennaiyin €161K.
- Indian Super League: V. Kaith is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1663).
- Style contrast in possession (Indian Super League): ATK Mohun Bagan rank #3 of 10, Chennaiyin #10.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. ATK Mohun Bagan goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: ATK Mohun Bagan 1560 · Chennaiyin 1388
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 2 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ATK Mohun Bagan · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1526
Chennaiyin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1468
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ATK Mohun Bagan
5th in Indian Super League · 3 pts from 2
- 12 OctLNorthEast United India ISL1562
- 21 MayWSC Delhi India ISL1610
- 17 MayDEast Bengal II India ISL1621
- 12 MayDInter Kashi India ISL1574
- 9 MayDGoa India ISL1620
Chennaiyin
10th in Indian Super League · 1 pts from 2
- 17 OctLBengaluru India ISL1398
- 10 OctDGoa India ISL1416
- 16 MayLBengaluru India ISL1275
- 10 MayLNorthEast United India ISL1326
- 6 MayLMinerva Punjab India ISL1345
Season outlook
From the Indian Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATK Mohun Bagan | 3 /2 | 20.2 | 18% | 60% | 3% | 1st |
| Chennaiyin | 1 /2 | 14.7 | 1% | 13% | 28% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 13th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
ATK Mohun Bagan: shot-heavy (how Panagiotis Dilmperis plays) · Chennaiyin: direct (how Clifford Miranda Rayes plays)