Serie B · Regular Season - 33
Athletic Club 2–2 Londrina
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Estadio Joaquim Portugal, Sao Joao del-Rei
Athletic ClubTeam 1669LondrinaTeam 1440- João Miguel 18', 89'
- João Vitor de Souza Martins 4', 84' (pen)
We gave Athletic Club 65% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 4'João Vitor de Souza Martins – (pen.)Londrina:João Vitor de Souza Martins – (pen.)
- 7'Caio César Rodrigues Souza –Londrina:Caio César Rodrigues Souza –
- João Miguel – assist Kauan Rodrigues da Silva –18'Athletic Club:João Miguel – assist Kauan Rodrigues da Silva –
- Felipe Negrucci Berdague – for Jhan Pool Torres Cañete –45'Athletic Club:Felipe Negrucci Berdague – for Jhan Pool Torres Cañete –
- Otavio Bruno Dos Santos – for Maswel Ananias Silva –45'Athletic Club:Otavio Bruno Dos Santos – for Maswel Ananias Silva –
- Carlos Moisés de Lima – for Joao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes –45'Athletic Club:Carlos Moisés de Lima – for Joao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes –
- 62'Pablo Dyego – for Herbert Mateus Almeida De Oliveira –Londrina:Pablo Dyego – for Herbert Mateus Almeida De Oliveira –
- 62'Thalis Henrique Cantanhede – for Geovane Santana Meurer –Londrina:Thalis Henrique Cantanhede – for Geovane Santana Meurer –
- 63'Igor Ruan Sousa dos Santos – for William Pottker –Londrina:Igor Ruan Sousa dos Santos – for William Pottker –
- Jhonatan –66'Athletic Club:Jhonatan –
- 74'Joao Coni – for Victor Hugo de Faria Mota –Londrina:Joao Coni – for Victor Hugo de Faria Mota –
- Dixon Vera – for Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes –79'Athletic Club:Dixon Vera – for Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes –
- José Carlos Cracco Neto – for Enzo Henrique dos Santos –80'Athletic Club:José Carlos Cracco Neto – for Enzo Henrique dos Santos –
- 80'Kevyn Lucas Ramos da Costa – for Heron –Londrina:Kevyn Lucas Ramos da Costa – for Heron –
- Carlos Moisés de Lima –82'Athletic Club:Carlos Moisés de Lima –
- 84'João Vitor de Souza Martins – (pen.)Londrina:João Vitor de Souza Martins – (pen.)
- João Miguel – assist José Carlos Cracco Neto –89'Athletic Club:João Miguel – assist José Carlos Cracco Neto –
Before kick-off (provisional): 65% · 21% · 14%(Athletic Club · draw · Londrina)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Athletic Club €460K, Londrina €202K.
- Draw chance was 21%, below the Serie B average of 27% this round.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Athletic Club
15th in Serie B · 42 pts from 32
- 6 OctLGoias Brazil Serie B1694
- 1 OctLSport Recife Brazil Serie B1655
- 27 SepDFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1690
- 19 SepDBotafogo SP Brazil Serie B1694
- 13 SepWJuventude Brazil Serie B1666
Londrina
18th in Serie B · 28 pts from 32
- 7 OctLAvai Brazil Serie B1420
- 2 OctLCriciuma Brazil Serie B1404
- 25 SepLVila Nova Brazil Serie B1414
- 20 SepLFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1418
- 15 SepWPonte Preta Brazil Serie B1359
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 42 /32 | 50.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
| Londrina | 28 /32 | 34.2 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Athletic Club · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1643
Londrina · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1593
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Athletic Club: balanced profile (how Alexsandro de Souza plays) · Londrina: balanced profile (how Mário Rogério Reis Micale plays)