La Liga · Regular Season - 13
Athletic Club vs Espanyol
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Athletic Club host Espanyol on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Athletic Club 60%, draw 23%, Espanyol 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Athletic Club €11.6M, Espanyol €4.9M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Athletic Club goals first.
- 1–012%
- 2–011%
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 0–07%
- 3–07%
- Other scores42%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–0expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.6 pts
Team Elo: Athletic Club 2173 · Espanyol 1993
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Athletic Club · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2420
Espanyol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2085
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Athletic Club
7th in La Liga · 16 pts from 11
- 7 NovDOsasuna La Liga2220
- 1 NovWReal Sociedad La Liga2117
- 25 OctWGetafe La Liga2088
- 21 OctLLevante La Liga2064
- 17 OctDValencia La Liga2103
Espanyol
13th in La Liga · 12 pts from 12
- 7 NovDDeportivo La Coruna La Liga1954
- 30 OctWVillarreal La Liga1916
- 27 OctDSestao River Spain Copa del Rey1940
- 24 OctLRacing Santander La Liga1961
- 17 OctLAtletico Madrid La Liga1956
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 16 /11 | 56.1 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 6th |
| Espanyol | 12 /12 | 41.7 | 0% | 0% | 12% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Athletic Club: balanced profile (how Edin Terzić plays) · Espanyol: direct (how Eder Sarabia plays)