Premier League · Regular Season - 9
Aston Villa vs Fulham
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa host Fulham on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Aston Villa 58%, draw 24%, Fulham 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aston Villa €27.7M, Fulham €15.6M.
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Aston Villa goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 3–07%
- 0–07%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.3 pts
Team Elo: Aston Villa 2375 · Fulham 2169
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aston Villa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 2410
Fulham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2282
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aston Villa
12th in Premier League · 8 pts from 7
- 17 OctWNewcastle Premier League2328
- 14 OctWFenerbahçe UEFA Champions League2325
- 10 OctDBrentford Premier League2394
- 19 SepWTottenham Premier League2344
- 16 SepWCoventry England League Cup2121
Fulham
17th in Premier League · 5 pts from 7
- 17 OctWHull City Premier League2198
- 10 OctLIpswich Premier League2199
- 20 SepDManchester United Premier League2186
- 15 SepWWest Ham England League Cup2118
- 12 SepDLiverpool Premier League2167
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 8 /7 | 56.6 | 0% | 19% | <1% | 6th |
| Fulham | 5 /7 | 37.1 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Aston Villa: low-block (how Unai Emery Etxegoien plays) · Fulham: balanced profile (how Alvaro Arbeloa plays)