Super League 1 · Regular Season - 10
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Asteras Tripolis host Kalamata on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Asteras Tripolis 39%, draw 29%, Kalamata 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Asteras Tripolis €603K, Kalamata €577K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Asteras Tripolis goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Asteras Tripolis 1679 · Kalamata 1673
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Asteras Tripolis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1947
Kalamata · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1869
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Asteras Tripolis
11th in Super League 1 · 5 pts from 7
- 18 OctLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1687
- 10 OctWAtromitos Greece Super League1684
- 20 SepDOFI Greece Super League1674
- 13 SepDAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1654
- 7 SepLIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1662
Kalamata
6th in Super League 1 · 10 pts from 7
- 18 OctWOFI Greece Super League1669
- 12 OctWPAOK Greece Super League1573
- 20 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1553
- 13 SepWVolos NFC Greece Super League1561
- 6 SepDAtromitos Greece Super League1541
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 5 /7 | 26.6 | 0% | <1% | 31% | 11th |
| Kalamata | 10 /7 | 30.1 | 0% | 1% | 12% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –