Super League 1 · Regular Season - 6
Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Atromitos
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripolis
Asteras TripolisTeam 1667
AtromitosTeam 1675Match story
Asteras Tripolis · draw · AtromitosBefore kick-off: 38% · 29% · 33%
Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Kalvin Ketu 4'
- Julián Bartolo 22'
- Dani García 23'
We gave Asteras Tripolis 38% to win: they did.
- Kalvin Ketu 1720 +51* assist Eder González 1741 +64*4'
Asteras Tripolis:Kalvin Ketu 1720 +51* assist Eder González 1741 +64* - Julián Bartolo 1786 +54* assist Alejandro·Mendez Garcia 1751 +65*22'
Asteras Tripolis:Julián Bartolo 1786 +54* assist Alejandro·Mendez Garcia 1751 +65* - 23'Dani García 1723 −39* assist Theocharis Tsingaras 1758 −38*
Atromitos:Dani García 1723 −39* assist Theocharis Tsingaras 1758 −38* - Julián Chicco 1635 +12* for Dimitrios Kourbelis 1954 −131'
Asteras Tripolis:Julián Chicco 1635 +12* for Dimitrios Kourbelis 1954 −1 - 45'Sotiris Tsiloulis 1460 −11* for Mattheos Mountes 1691 −10*
Atromitos:Sotiris Tsiloulis 1460 −11* for Mattheos Mountes 1691 −10* - 45'Kelvin Ofori 1624 −8* for S. Pnevmonidis 1765 −13*
Atromitos:Kelvin Ofori 1624 −8* for S. Pnevmonidis 1765 −13* - Julián Chicco 1635 +12*55'
Asteras Tripolis:Julián Chicco 1635 +12* - 57'Dani García 1723 −39*
Atromitos:Dani García 1723 −39* - 69'Kelvin Ofori 1624 −8*
Atromitos:Kelvin Ofori 1624 −8* - Antonis Papakanellos 1623 −1* for Kalvin Ketu 1720 +51*71'
Asteras Tripolis:Antonis Papakanellos 1623 −1* for Kalvin Ketu 1720 +51* - 73'Panagiotis Tsantilas 1391 −8* for Juan José Perea 1633 −8*
Atromitos:Panagiotis Tsantilas 1391 −8* for Juan José Perea 1633 −8* - 74'Anastasios Kotsis 1464 −8* for Sotiris Tsiloulis 1460 −11*
Atromitos:Anastasios Kotsis 1464 −8* for Sotiris Tsiloulis 1460 −11* - 84'Serginho 1779 −12* for Dani García 1723 −39*
Atromitos:Serginho 1779 −12* for Dani García 1723 −39* - Nikos Kaltsas 1326 −16* for Federico Macheda 1620 +19*90+1'
Asteras Tripolis:Nikos Kaltsas 1326 −16* for Federico Macheda 1620 +19* - Giannis Bouzoukis 1574 −8* for Julián Bartolo 1786 +54*90+1'
Asteras Tripolis:Giannis Bouzoukis 1574 −8* for Julián Bartolo 1786 +54* - Ricardo Viana Filho 1562 −7* for Eder González 1741 +64*90+1'
Asteras Tripolis:Ricardo Viana Filho 1562 −7* for Eder González 1741 +64*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 38% · 29% · 33%(Asteras Tripolis · draw · Atromitos)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Asteras Tripolis €561K, Atromitos €672K.
- Home advantage made Asteras Tripolis the favourite: it added 3 points to their win chance; Super League 1 has one of the three smallest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Asteras Tripolis
12th in Super League 1 · 2 pts from 5
- 20 SepDOFI Greece Super League1674
- 13 SepDAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1654
- 7 SepLIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1662
- 30 AugLOlympiakos Piraeus Greece Super League1671
- 23 AugLPanetolikos Greece Super League1702
Atromitos
11th in Super League 1 · 2 pts from 5
- 19 SepLKifisia Greece Super League1713
- 12 SepDIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1701
- 6 SepDKalamata Greece Super League1645
- 30 AugLPAOK Greece Super League1677
- 22 AugLOlympiakos Piraeus Greece Super League1740
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 2 /5 | 25.1 | 0% | 0% | 41% | 12th |
| Atromitos | 2 /5 | 25.6 | 0% | <1% | 36% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Asteras Tripolis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1732

Atromitos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1795
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Asteras Tripolis: balanced profile (how Giorgos Antonopoulos plays) · Atromitos: balanced profile (how Dušan Kerkez plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.