Super League 1 · Regular Season - 11
Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Asteras Tripolis host Aris Thessalonikis on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Asteras Tripolis 26%, draw 28%, Aris Thessalonikis 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Asteras Tripolis €574K, Aris Thessalonikis €1.8M.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Super League 1): Asteras Tripolis rank #14 of 14, Aris Thessalonikis #4.
- All 11 of Aris Thessalonikis' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Asteras Tripolis goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–112%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–29%
- 1–08%
- Other scores40%
Team Elo: Asteras Tripolis 1664 · Aris Thessalonikis 1841
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Asteras Tripolis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1921
Aris Thessalonikis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1962
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Asteras Tripolis
11th in Super League 1 · 7 pts from 10
- 8 NovDKalamata Greece Super League1658
- 1 NovLPAOK Greece Super League1680
- 24 OctDLevadiakos Greece Super League1703
- 18 OctLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1681
- 10 OctWAtromitos Greece Super League1676
Aris Thessalonikis
5th in Super League 1 · 19 pts from 10
- 7 NovWPanetolikos Greece Super League1840
- 1 NovLLevadiakos Greece Super League1828
- 25 OctWAtromitos Greece Super League1855
- 18 OctWKifisia Greece Super League1836
- 11 OctWVolos NFC Greece Super League1829
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 7 /10 | 24.2 | 0% | 0% | 44% | 12th |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 19 /10 | 41.4 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Asteras Tripolis: balanced profile (how Giorgos Antonopoulos plays) · Aris Thessalonikis: balanced profile (how Michalis Grigoriou plays)