Serie B · Regular Season - 12
Ascoli vs Vicenza Virtus
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Ascoli host Vicenza Virtus on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ascoli 51%, draw 26%, Vicenza Virtus 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ascoli €468K, Vicenza Virtus €412K.
- Ascoli are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ascoli goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–012%
- 2–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Ascoli 1659 · Vicenza Virtus 1559
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ascoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1734
Vicenza Virtus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.1 (Average) · Elo 1659
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ascoli
3rd in Serie B · 20 pts from 11
- 6 NovDPalermo Italy Serie B1651
- 1 NovDArezzo Italy Serie B1628
- 27 OctWSampdoria Italy Serie B1573
- 24 OctWCatanzaro Italy Serie B1563
- 17 OctDEmpoli Italy Serie B1577
Vicenza Virtus
18th in Serie B · 9 pts from 11
- 8 NovLCremonese Italy Serie B1459
- 1 NovLPalermo Italy Serie B1543
- 27 OctLModena Italy Serie B1608
- 23 OctWEmpoli Italy Serie B1499
- 17 OctDBenevento Italy Serie B1580
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 20 /11 | 53.9 | <1% | 13% | 1% | 8th |
| Vicenza Virtus | 9 /11 | 38.1 | 0% | 0% | 56% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –