Serie B · Regular Season - 9
Ascoli vs Sampdoria
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Ascoli host Sampdoria on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ascoli 26%, draw 28%, Sampdoria 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ascoli €428K, Sampdoria €1.7M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Serie B matchday 9: 235 points.
- All 11 of Sampdoria's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ascoli goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Ascoli 1590 · Sampdoria 1825
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ascoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1636
Sampdoria · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1706
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ascoli
6th in Serie B · 12 pts from 7
- 17 OctDEmpoli Italy Serie B1565
- 10 OctDSudtirol Italy Serie B1567
- 19 SepWAvellino Italy Serie B1398
- 12 SepLPadova Italy Serie B1441
- 5 SepWBenevento Italy Serie B1453
Sampdoria
19th in Serie B · 4 pts from 7
- 18 OctLArezzo Italy Serie B1830
- 9 OctLAvellino Italy Serie B1824
- 19 SepWCatanzaro Italy Serie B1801
- 13 SepLMantova Italy Serie B1786
- 7 SepLPalermo Italy Serie B1817
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 12 /7 | 46.1 | 0% | 2% | 20% | 16th |
| Sampdoria | 4 /7 | 55.8 | 1% | 24% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ascoli: direct (how Francesco Tomei plays) · Sampdoria: balanced profile (how Bernardo Corradi plays)