Serie B · Regular Season - 11
Ascoli vs Palermo
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Ascoli host Palermo on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ascoli 17%, draw 24%, Palermo 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ascoli €423K, Palermo €2.0M.
- Serie B: F. Ranocchia is the highest-rated midfielder (2037).
- Style contrast in attacking (Serie B): Ascoli rank #19 of 20, Palermo #2.
- Palermo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ascoli goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–37%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Ascoli 1565 · Palermo 1944
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ascoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1636
Palermo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2037
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ascoli
6th in Serie B · 12 pts from 7
- 17 OctDEmpoli Italy Serie B1565
- 10 OctDSudtirol Italy Serie B1567
- 19 SepWAvellino Italy Serie B1398
- 12 SepLPadova Italy Serie B1441
- 5 SepWBenevento Italy Serie B1453
Palermo
1st in Serie B · 19 pts from 7
- 17 OctWMantova Italy Serie B1963
- 10 OctWEmpoli Italy Serie B1934
- 19 SepWPadova Italy Serie B1929
- 13 SepDAvellino Italy Serie B1889
- 7 SepWSampdoria Italy Serie B1947
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 12 /7 | 44.5 | 0% | 1% | 26% | 17th |
| Palermo | 19 /7 | 79.2 | 87% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ascoli: direct (how Francesco Tomei plays) · Palermo: balanced profile (how Filippo Inzaghi plays)