Super Liga · Regular Season - 10
AS Trencin 0–1 Dukla Banská Bystrica
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
AS TrencinTeam 1470Dukla Banská BystricaTeam 1295- M. Gjorgievski 11'
We gave AS Trencin 54% to win: Dukla Banská Bystrica won.
- 11'M. Gjorgievski – assist N. Kubala –Dukla Banská Bystrica:M. Gjorgievski – assist N. Kubala –
- 21'D. Richtarech –Dukla Banská Bystrica:D. Richtarech –
- 49'N. Kubala –Dukla Banská Bystrica:N. Kubala –
- 60'K. Vallo – for D. Richtarech –Dukla Banská Bystrica:K. Vallo – for D. Richtarech –
- 65'M. Duris –Dukla Banská Bystrica:M. Duris –
- T. Hajovsky – for M. Poom –66'AS Trencin:T. Hajovsky – for M. Poom –
- M. Boye – for F. Kasana –66'AS Trencin:M. Boye – for F. Kasana –
- N. Jovanovic – for J. Mulder –66'AS Trencin:N. Jovanovic – for J. Mulder –
- 73'E. Okechukwu – for E. Arevalo –Dukla Banská Bystrica:E. Okechukwu – for E. Arevalo –
- 73'V. Toth – for M. Duris –Dukla Banská Bystrica:V. Toth – for M. Duris –
- 74'E. Okechukwu –Dukla Banská Bystrica:E. Okechukwu –
- D. Jepihhin – for D. Kam –85'AS Trencin:D. Jepihhin – for D. Kam –
- C. Ansah – for P. Gonzalez –85'AS Trencin:C. Ansah – for P. Gonzalez –
- 85'A. Hanes – for J. Povazanec –Dukla Banská Bystrica:A. Hanes – for J. Povazanec –
- 85'A. Sivicek – for M. Gjorgievski –Dukla Banská Bystrica:A. Sivicek – for M. Gjorgievski –
Before kick-off (provisional): 54% · 26% · 21%(AS Trencin · draw · Dukla Banská Bystrica)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–1 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AS Trencin €304K, Dukla Banská Bystrica €119K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AS Trencin
11th in Super Liga · 5 pts from 8
- 19 SepLŽilina Slovak Super Liga1441
- 29 AugWRužomberok Slovak Super Liga1456
- 15 AugLPodbrezová Slovak Super Liga1473
- 1 AugDFK Košice Slovak Super Liga1467
- 25 JulDKomárno Slovak Super Liga1484
Dukla Banská Bystrica
9th in Super Liga · 7 pts from 9
- 19 SepLZemplín Michalovce Slovak Super Liga1266
- 29 AugDKomárno Slovak Super Liga1293
- 22 AugWRužomberok Slovak Super Liga1222
- 15 AugLŽilina Slovak Super Liga1227
- 8 AugLSpartak Trnava Slovak Super Liga1276
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Trencin | 5 /8 | 24.1 | 0% | 1% | 26% | 8th |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica | 7 /9 | 19.2 | 0% | <1% | 72% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AS Trencin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1699
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AS Trencin: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Ricardo Moniz plays) · Dukla Banská Bystrica: balanced profile (how Daniel Valach plays)