Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 8
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Kehrwegstadion, Eupen
AS Eupen host Beerschot VA on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Challenger Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AS Eupen 43%, draw 28%, Beerschot VA 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AS Eupen €525K, Beerschot VA €478K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Challenger Pro League): AS Eupen rank #15 of 15, Beerschot VA #4.
- All 11 of AS Eupen's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- AS Eupen are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Beerschot VA have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AS Eupen goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: AS Eupen 1691 · Beerschot VA 1650
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AS Eupen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1784
Beerschot VA · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1745
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AS Eupen
3rd in Challenger Pro League · 15 pts from 6
- 9 OctWRSC Anderlecht II Belgium Challenger Pro League1667
- 19 SepWLiège Belgium Challenger Pro League1630
- 13 SepWPatro Eisden Belgium Challenger Pro League1606
- 5 SepWClub Brugge II Belgium Challenger Pro League1652
- 20 MarDSeraing United Belgium Challenger Pro League1681
Beerschot VA
1st in Challenger Pro League · 18 pts from 7
- 10 OctWLiège Belgium Challenger Pro League1691
- 19 SepWSporting Hasselt Belgium Challenger Pro League1673
- 11 SepWK. Lierse S.K. Belgium Challenger Pro League1606
- 4 SepWPatro Eisden Belgium Challenger Pro League1576
- 29 AugWRSC Anderlecht II Belgium Challenger Pro League1579
Season outlook
From the Challenger Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen | 15 /6 | 56.2 | 43% | 97% | 0% | 1st |
| Beerschot VA | 18 /7 | 55.3 | 37% | 96% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AS Eupen: low-volume (how Felice Mazzù plays) · Beerschot VA: balanced profile (how Mohamed Messoudi plays)