Premier League · Regular Season - 27
Arsenal vs Bate Borisov
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Haradski Stadium, Barysaw
Arsenal host Bate Borisov on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Arsenal 35%, draw 29%, Bate Borisov 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Arsenal €107K, Bate Borisov €185K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Arsenal goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Arsenal 1262 · Bate Borisov 1348
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bate Borisov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.3 (Poor) · Elo 1358
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Arsenal
12th in Premier League · 23 pts from 24
- 9 OctLDinamo Brest Belarus Premier League1257
- 18 SepLML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1251
- 12 SepDBaranovichi Belarus Premier League1285
- 7 SepDFC Isloch Minsk R. Belarus Premier League1256
- 30 AugLTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1273
Bate Borisov
13th in Premier League · 21 pts from 25
- 18 OctLFC Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League1343
- 14 OctLNeman Belarus Premier League1352
- 10 OctWSlavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League1335
- 19 SepLDinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League1332
- 13 SepDNaftan Belarus Premier League1333
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 23 /24 | 29.0 | 0% | 0% | 27% | 12th |
| Bate Borisov | 21 /25 | 27.9 | 0% | 0% | 35% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –