First League · Regular Season - 17
Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion Arsenal, Tula
Arsenal Tula host Chelyabinsk on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Arsenal Tula 42%, draw 29%, Chelyabinsk 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Arsenal Tula €232K, Chelyabinsk €282K.
- Home advantage makes Arsenal Tula the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Arsenal Tula goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Arsenal Tula 1434 · Chelyabinsk 1466
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Arsenal Tula
11th in First League · 16 pts from 14
- 17 OctLFC UFA Russia First League1394
- 9 OctWSpartak Kostroma Russia First League1386
- 16 SepLEnisey Russia First League1448
- 13 SepDSka-khabarovsk Russia First League1426
- 5 SepLVolga Ulyanovsk Russia First League1443
Chelyabinsk
12th in First League · 15 pts from 14
- 18 OctLTekstilshchik Russia First League1481
- 9 OctWFK Neftekhimik Russia First League1464
- 26 SepDEnisey Russia First League1431
- 18 SepWFC UFA Russia First League1448
- 14 SepDKAMAZ Russia First League1451
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula | 16 /14 | 41.0 | 0% | <1% | 11% | 11th |
| Chelyabinsk | 15 /14 | 41.9 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: –