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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Schüco-Arena, Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld crestArminia BielefeldTeam 1720
2–1
Full time
HT 1–1
VfL Osnabrück crestVfL OsnabrückTeam 1733

Match story

Arminia Bielefeld · draw · VfL Osnabrück

Before kick-off: 43% · 27% · 29%

Live chances: Arminia Bielefeld 100%, draw 0%, VfL Osnabrück 0% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 43%, draw 27%, VfL Osnabrück 29%2' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 43%, draw 28%, VfL Osnabrück 29%3' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 43%, draw 28%, VfL Osnabrück 29%4' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 43%, draw 28%, VfL Osnabrück 29%5' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 43%, draw 28%, VfL Osnabrück 29%6' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 43%, draw 28%, VfL Osnabrück 29%7' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 43%, draw 28%, VfL Osnabrück 29%8' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 42%, draw 28%, VfL Osnabrück 29%9' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 42%, draw 28%, VfL Osnabrück 29%10' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 42%, draw 28%, VfL Osnabrück 29%12' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 42%, draw 29%, VfL Osnabrück 29%13' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 42%, draw 29%, VfL Osnabrück 29%14' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 42%, draw 29%, VfL Osnabrück 29%15' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 42%, draw 29%, VfL Osnabrück 29%16' · 0–0 · Arminia Bielefeld 42%, draw 29%, VfL Osnabrück 29%17' · 0–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 25%, draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 49%18' · 0–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 24%, draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 50%19' · 0–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 24%, draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 50%20' · 0–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 24%, draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 50%21' · 0–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 24%, draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 50%22' · 0–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 23%, draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 50%23' · 0–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 23%, draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 51%24' · 0–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 23%, draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 51%25' · 0–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 23%, draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 51%26' · 0–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 23%, draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 51%27' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 40%, draw 31%, VfL Osnabrück 29%28' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 40%, draw 31%, VfL Osnabrück 29%29' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 40%, draw 31%, VfL Osnabrück 29%30' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 40%, draw 32%, VfL Osnabrück 29%31' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 40%, draw 32%, VfL Osnabrück 29%32' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 39%, draw 32%, VfL Osnabrück 29%33' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 39%, draw 32%, VfL Osnabrück 29%34' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 39%, draw 32%, VfL Osnabrück 28%35' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 39%, draw 33%, VfL Osnabrück 28%36' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 39%, draw 33%, VfL Osnabrück 28%37' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 39%, draw 33%, VfL Osnabrück 28%38' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 38%, draw 33%, VfL Osnabrück 28%39' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 38%, draw 34%, VfL Osnabrück 28%40' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 38%, draw 34%, VfL Osnabrück 28%41' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 38%, draw 34%, VfL Osnabrück 28%42' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 38%, draw 35%, VfL Osnabrück 28%43' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 37%, draw 35%, VfL Osnabrück 28%44' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 37%, draw 35%, VfL Osnabrück 28%45' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 37%, draw 35%, VfL Osnabrück 28%45+1' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 37%, draw 36%, VfL Osnabrück 27%45+2' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 37%, draw 36%, VfL Osnabrück 27%45+3' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 36%, draw 36%, VfL Osnabrück 27%HT · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 36%, draw 37%, VfL Osnabrück 27%47' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 36%, draw 37%, VfL Osnabrück 27%48' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 36%, draw 37%, VfL Osnabrück 27%49' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 35%, draw 38%, VfL Osnabrück 27%50' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 35%, draw 38%, VfL Osnabrück 27%51' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 35%, draw 39%, VfL Osnabrück 26%52' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 34%, draw 39%, VfL Osnabrück 26%53' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 34%, draw 40%, VfL Osnabrück 26%54' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 34%, draw 40%, VfL Osnabrück 26%55' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 33%, draw 41%, VfL Osnabrück 26%56' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 33%, draw 41%, VfL Osnabrück 25%57' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 33%, draw 42%, VfL Osnabrück 25%58' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 32%, draw 43%, VfL Osnabrück 25%59' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 32%, draw 43%, VfL Osnabrück 25%60' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 31%, draw 44%, VfL Osnabrück 25%61' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 31%, draw 45%, VfL Osnabrück 24%63' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 30%, draw 46%, VfL Osnabrück 24%64' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 30%, draw 47%, VfL Osnabrück 23%65' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 29%, draw 47%, VfL Osnabrück 23%67' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 28%, draw 49%, VfL Osnabrück 23%68' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 28%, draw 50%, VfL Osnabrück 22%69' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 27%, draw 51%, VfL Osnabrück 22%71' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 26%, draw 52%, VfL Osnabrück 21%72' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 26%, draw 53%, VfL Osnabrück 21%73' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 25%, draw 54%, VfL Osnabrück 20%74' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 25%, draw 55%, VfL Osnabrück 20%75' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 24%, draw 56%, VfL Osnabrück 19%76' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 23%, draw 58%, VfL Osnabrück 19%77' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 23%, draw 59%, VfL Osnabrück 18%78' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 22%, draw 60%, VfL Osnabrück 18%79' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 21%, draw 61%, VfL Osnabrück 17%80' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 20%, draw 63%, VfL Osnabrück 17%81' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 20%, draw 64%, VfL Osnabrück 16%82' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 19%, draw 66%, VfL Osnabrück 16%83' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 18%, draw 67%, VfL Osnabrück 15%84' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 17%, draw 69%, VfL Osnabrück 14%85' · 1–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 16%, draw 71%, VfL Osnabrück 13%86' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 87%, draw 12%, VfL Osnabrück 1%87' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 88%, draw 11%, VfL Osnabrück 1%88' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 89%, draw 10%, VfL Osnabrück 1%89' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 90%, draw 10%, VfL Osnabrück 1%90' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 91%, draw 9%, VfL Osnabrück 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 92%, draw 8%, VfL Osnabrück 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 93%, draw 6%, VfL Osnabrück 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 95%, draw 5%, VfL Osnabrück 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 96%, draw 4%, VfL Osnabrück 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 98%, draw 2%, VfL Osnabrück 0%90+6' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 99%, draw 1%, VfL Osnabrück 0%90+7' · 2–1 · Arminia Bielefeld 100%, draw 0%, VfL Osnabrück 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Arminia Bielefeld 43% to win: they did.

  1. 2'VfL Osnabrück:Robin Fabinski 1737 0
  2. 16'VfL Osnabrück:Robin Meißner 1797 −16
  3. 26'Arminia Bielefeld:Maximilian Bauer 1836 +35 assist Arne Sicker 1712 +57
  4. 38'Arminia Bielefeld:Benjamin boakye 1675 +15
  5. 59'Arminia Bielefeld:monju thaddaus momuluh 1740 −2* for Isaiah Young 1688 +13
  6. 59'Arminia Bielefeld:Jannik Rochelt 1774 +13 for Benjamin boakye 1675 +15
  7. 68'VfL Osnabrück:Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 1779 −4 for Ismail Badjie 1633 0
  8. 81'Arminia Bielefeld:Joel Felix 1717 +1 for Leon Jensen 1835 +9
  9. 81'Arminia Bielefeld:Henri Koudossou 1858 −7* for Felix Hagmann 1732 +17
  10. 83'VfL Osnabrück:Luca Raimund 1604 0 for Leon Maximilian Flach 1831 −7
  11. 85'Arminia Bielefeld:Jannik Rochelt 1774 +13 assist monju thaddaus momuluh 1740 −2*
  12. 86'Arminia Bielefeld:Maximilian Grosser 1802 +14
  13. 88'Arminia Bielefeld:Vincent Ocansey 963 −6* for Joel Grodowski 1797 +13
  14. 89'VfL Osnabrück:Bernd Riesselmann 1324 0 for Adrian Beck 1822 −9
  15. 89'VfL Osnabrück:Theo Janotta 1540 −8* for Jannik Müller 1770 −7
  16. 89'Arminia Bielefeld:Stefano Russo 1791 +15
  17. 89'VfL Osnabrück:Leonhard Luis Munst 1649 −8* for Jonathan Gómez 1890 −12

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations3-4-2-1
GJ. Kersken1779+16
DF. Hagmann1732+17
DM. Bauer1836+35
DM. Großer1802+14
DA. Sicker1712+57
MS. Russo1791+15
MBenjamin Bediako Boakye1675+15
ML. Jensen1835+9
MM. Wörl1814+40
MI. Young1688+13
FJ. Grodowski1797+13
COliver Kirch1668+44
GJ. Krumrey1795−5
DR. Fabinski17370
DJ. Müller1770−7
DN. Wiemann1806−7
MP. Kammerbauer1759−4
ML. Flach1831−7
MB. Jacobsen1759−8
MJ. Gómez1890−12
MA. Beck1822−9
MI. Badjie16330
FR. Meißner1797−16
CT. Schultz1805−11
Before kick-off: 43% · 27% · 29%(Arminia Bielefeld · draw · VfL Osnabrück)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Arminia Bielefeld €1.0M, VfL Osnabrück €679K.
  • Style contrast in chance creation (2. Bundesliga): Arminia Bielefeld ranked #4 of 18, VfL Osnabrück #18.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Arminia Bielefeld

10th in 2. Bundesliga · 8 pts from 7

  • 11 OctWVfL Bochum 1729
  • 20 SepD1. FC Heidenheim 1781
  • 11 SepLSV Darmstadt 98 1762
  • 4 SepDFC St. Pauli 1771
  • 29 AugL1. FC Nürnberg 1779

VfL Osnabrück

11th in 2. Bundesliga · 8 pts from 7

  • 10 OctDDynamo Dresden 1761
  • 19 SepDHolstein Kiel 1757
  • 13 SepLHertha BSC 1795
  • 6 SepWEintracht Braunschweig 1769
  • 2 SepLBayern München 1755

Season outlook

From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Arminia Bielefeld8 /744.1<1%5%10%10th
VfL Osnabrück8 /740.3<1%2%24%14th
Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Osnabrück

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 2. Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Russo
S. Russo

Arminia Bielefeld · +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1776

A. Beck
A. Beck

VfL Osnabrück · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1831

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Oliver Kirch

Coach DNA: –

Timo Schultz

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Arminia Bielefeld: balanced profile (how Oliver Kirch plays) · VfL Osnabrück: balanced profile (how Timo Schultz plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.