1. Division · Regular Season - 10
Aris vs Nea Salamis
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Aris host Nea Salamis on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Aris 51%, draw 27%, Nea Salamis 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aris €549K, Nea Salamis €266K.
- All 11 of Nea Salamis' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Aris goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–19%
- 1–09%
- 2–08%
- 2–26%
- 0–06%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Aris 1608 · Nea Salamis 1464
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nea Salamis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1635
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aris
7th in 1. Division · 15 pts from 9
- 8 NovLApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1611
- 1 NovWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1600
- 25 OctWAEL Cypriot First Division1614
- 18 OctDAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1613
- 11 OctWOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1570
Nea Salamis
10th in 1. Division · 8 pts from 9
- 6 NovWOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1412
- 1 NovLOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1445
- 26 OctDPafos Cypriot First Division1422
- 17 OctLApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1475
- 10 OctLApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1345
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris | 15 /9 | 40.0 | 1% | 12% | 0% | 7th |
| Nea Salamis | 8 /9 | 27.0 | 0% | <1% | 20% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct · aggressive