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1. Division · Regular Season - 6

Aris 1–1 AEK Larnaca

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Alphamega Stadium, Limassol

Aris crestArisTeam 1592
1–1
Full time
HT 1–0
AEK Larnaca crestAEK LarnacaTeam 1703

Match story

Aris · draw · AEK Larnaca

Before kick-off: 28% · 29% · 43%

Live chances: Aris 3%, draw 92%, AEK Larnaca 4% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 29%, AEK Larnaca 43%2' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 29%, AEK Larnaca 43%3' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 29%, AEK Larnaca 43%4' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 30%, AEK Larnaca 43%5' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 30%, AEK Larnaca 43%6' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 30%, AEK Larnaca 43%7' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 30%, AEK Larnaca 42%8' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 30%, AEK Larnaca 42%9' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 30%, AEK Larnaca 42%10' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 30%, AEK Larnaca 42%11' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 30%, AEK Larnaca 42%12' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 31%, AEK Larnaca 42%13' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 31%, AEK Larnaca 42%14' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 31%, AEK Larnaca 42%15' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 31%, AEK Larnaca 41%16' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 31%, AEK Larnaca 41%17' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 31%, AEK Larnaca 41%18' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 31%, AEK Larnaca 41%19' · 0–0 · Aris 28%, draw 32%, AEK Larnaca 41%20' · 0–0 · Aris 27%, draw 32%, AEK Larnaca 41%21' · 1–0 · Aris 56%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 18%22' · 1–0 · Aris 56%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 18%23' · 1–0 · Aris 56%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 18%24' · 1–0 · Aris 56%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 18%25' · 1–0 · Aris 56%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 17%26' · 1–0 · Aris 56%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 17%27' · 1–0 · Aris 57%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 17%28' · 1–0 · Aris 57%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 17%29' · 1–0 · Aris 57%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 17%30' · 1–0 · Aris 57%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 17%31' · 1–0 · Aris 57%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 16%32' · 1–0 · Aris 58%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 16%33' · 1–0 · Aris 58%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 16%34' · 1–0 · Aris 58%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 16%35' · 1–0 · Aris 58%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 15%36' · 1–0 · Aris 58%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 15%37' · 1–0 · Aris 59%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 15%38' · 1–0 · Aris 59%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 15%39' · 1–0 · Aris 59%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 15%40' · 1–0 · Aris 59%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 14%41' · 1–0 · Aris 60%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 14%42' · 1–0 · Aris 60%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 14%43' · 1–0 · Aris 60%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 14%44' · 1–0 · Aris 60%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 13%45' · 1–0 · Aris 61%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 13%HT · 1–0 · Aris 62%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 12%46' · 1–0 · Aris 62%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 12%47' · 1–0 · Aris 62%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 12%48' · 1–0 · Aris 62%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 12%50' · 1–0 · Aris 63%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 11%51' · 1–0 · Aris 63%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 11%52' · 1–0 · Aris 64%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 11%53' · 1–0 · Aris 64%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 10%54' · 1–0 · Aris 64%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 10%55' · 1–0 · Aris 65%, draw 25%, AEK Larnaca 10%56' · 1–0 · Aris 65%, draw 25%, AEK Larnaca 9%57' · 1–0 · Aris 66%, draw 25%, AEK Larnaca 9%58' · 1–0 · Aris 66%, draw 25%, AEK Larnaca 9%59' · 1–0 · Aris 67%, draw 25%, AEK Larnaca 8%60' · 1–0 · Aris 67%, draw 25%, AEK Larnaca 8%61' · 1–0 · Aris 68%, draw 25%, AEK Larnaca 8%63' · 1–0 · Aris 69%, draw 24%, AEK Larnaca 7%64' · 1–0 · Aris 69%, draw 24%, AEK Larnaca 7%65' · 1–0 · Aris 70%, draw 24%, AEK Larnaca 7%67' · 1–0 · Aris 71%, draw 23%, AEK Larnaca 6%68' · 1–0 · Aris 71%, draw 23%, AEK Larnaca 6%69' · 1–0 · Aris 72%, draw 23%, AEK Larnaca 6%70' · 1–0 · Aris 72%, draw 22%, AEK Larnaca 5%71' · 1–0 · Aris 73%, draw 22%, AEK Larnaca 5%72' · 1–0 · Aris 74%, draw 22%, AEK Larnaca 5%73' · 1–0 · Aris 74%, draw 21%, AEK Larnaca 4%74' · 1–0 · Aris 75%, draw 21%, AEK Larnaca 4%75' · 1–0 · Aris 76%, draw 21%, AEK Larnaca 4%76' · 1–0 · Aris 76%, draw 20%, AEK Larnaca 4%77' · 1–0 · Aris 77%, draw 20%, AEK Larnaca 3%78' · 1–0 · Aris 78%, draw 19%, AEK Larnaca 3%79' · 1–0 · Aris 79%, draw 18%, AEK Larnaca 3%80' · 1–0 · Aris 79%, draw 18%, AEK Larnaca 3%81' · 1–0 · Aris 80%, draw 17%, AEK Larnaca 2%82' · 1–0 · Aris 81%, draw 17%, AEK Larnaca 2%83' · 1–0 · Aris 82%, draw 16%, AEK Larnaca 2%84' · 1–0 · Aris 83%, draw 15%, AEK Larnaca 2%85' · 1–0 · Aris 84%, draw 14%, AEK Larnaca 2%86' · 1–0 · Aris 85%, draw 14%, AEK Larnaca 1%87' · 1–0 · Aris 86%, draw 13%, AEK Larnaca 1%88' · 1–0 · Aris 87%, draw 12%, AEK Larnaca 1%89' · 1–0 · Aris 88%, draw 11%, AEK Larnaca 1%90' · 1–0 · Aris 90%, draw 10%, AEK Larnaca 1%90+1' · 1–1 · Aris 7%, draw 84%, AEK Larnaca 9%90+2' · 1–1 · Aris 6%, draw 87%, AEK Larnaca 7%90+3' · 1–1 · Aris 5%, draw 90%, AEK Larnaca 6%90+4' · 1–1 · Aris 3%, draw 92%, AEK Larnaca 4%

Last reading, 90+4': 3% · 92% · 4%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave AEK Larnaca 43% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 21'Aris:Veljko Nikolić 1721 +1
  2. 60'AEK Larnaca:Sven Kohler 1673 −2
  3. 61'AEK Larnaca:Nicolas Andereggen 1469 for Jan Repas 1705 −2
  4. 61'AEK Larnaca:petros ioannou 1552 for Jorge Miramón 1576 −17*
  5. 68'AEK Larnaca:Kerim Mrabti 1739 −11*
  6. 68'Aris:Gustavo Pajé 1429 for Veljko Nikolić 1721 +1
  7. 73'AEK Larnaca:Ivan pankov 1574 for Sven Kohler 1673 −2
  8. 73'AEK Larnaca:Đorđe Ivanović 1752 for Amor Layouni 1693 −6
  9. 76'Aris:Werton 1508 for Allachi Chahid 1490 +5
  10. 82'Aris:Werton 1508
  11. 83'AEK Larnaca:Brian Olivan 1770 for Enric Saborit 1729 −14*
  12. 87'Aris:Sane mamadou for dennis gaustad 1583 +3
  13. 87'Aris:Bernardo Pereira Folha 1686 for Gustavo Pajé 1429
  14. 90'Aris:charalampos charalampous 1705 +2
  15. 90+1'AEK Larnaca:Nicolas Andereggen 1469

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

DS. Yago1612−10*
GM. Zadro1529+4
MV. Nikolić1721+1
DM. Matysik1542+4
DG. Kalulu1707−7*
MD. Gaustad1583+3
MA. Opoku1664−5*
DAnderson Correia1570−4
MC. Charalampous1705+2
FR. Effaghe1575+4
MC. El Allachi1490+5
CA. Radkov1686+2
DEnric Saborit1729−14*
GA. Paleari1989−4
FR. Bajić1773−4
DG. Ekpolo1814−3
MS. Köhler1673−2
FA. Layouni1693−6
MGus Ledes1754−6
MH. Miličević1802−5
DMiramón1576−17*
MK. Mrabti1739−11*
MJ. Repas1705−2
CRubén Sellés18080
Before kick-off: 28% · 29% · 43%(Aris · draw · AEK Larnaca)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Aris €482K, AEK Larnaca €482K.
  • Style contrast in discipline (1. Division): Aris ranked #7 of 7, AEK Larnaca #2.
  • All 11 of AEK Larnaca's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Aris

6th in 1. Division · 8 pts from 5

  • 11 OctWOlympiakos 1586
  • 20 SepDKarmiotissa 1561
  • 7 SepLOmonia Nicosia 1588
  • 29 AugDApollon Limassol 1604
  • 22 MayLAEK Larnaca 1574

AEK Larnaca

2nd in 1. Division · 12 pts from 5

  • 12 OctWOmonia Aradippou 1769
  • 18 SepWOmonia 29is Maiou 1728
  • 13 SepLPafos 1710
  • 6 SepWNea Salamis 1690
  • 29 AugWApoel Nicosia 1685

Season outlook

From the 1. Division simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Aris8 /538.0<1%8%1%7th
AEK Larnaca12 /550.015%79%0%3rd
Aris
AEK Larnaca

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Division

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Paleari
A. Paleari

AEK Larnaca · +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1993

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Artem Radkov

Coach DNA: –

Rubén Sellés Salvador

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Aris: aggressive · shot-heavy (how Artem Radkov plays) · AEK Larnaca: balanced profile (how Rubén Sellés Salvador plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.