Super League 1 · Regular Season - 6
Aris Thessalonikis 3–2 Volos NFC
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Aris ThessalonikisTeam 1827
Volos NFCTeam 1534Match story
Aris Thessalonikis · draw · Volos NFCBefore kick-off: 65% · 21% · 14%
Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Derek Agyakwa 58'
- Giannis Kargas 86'
We gave Aris Thessalonikis 65% to win: they did.
- Christian Kouamé 1979 +4* assist Jeremy Petris 1803 +15*7'
Aris Thessalonikis:Christian Kouamé 1979 +4* assist Jeremy Petris 1803 +15* - 22'Stefanos Katsikas 1378 −8*
Volos NFC:Stefanos Katsikas 1378 −8* - Fabiano Leismann 1841 +7* assist Benjamin Garré 1887 +8*23'
Aris Thessalonikis:Fabiano Leismann 1841 +7* assist Benjamin Garré 1887 +8* - Tino Kadewere 1765 +14* (penalty missed)32'
Aris Thessalonikis:Tino Kadewere 1765 +14* (penalty missed) - Tino Kadewere 1765 +14* assist Uros Racic 1952 +5*43'
Aris Thessalonikis:Tino Kadewere 1765 +14* assist Uros Racic 1952 +5* - 45'Rémy Cabella 1739 −20* for Vasileios Grosdis 1363 −8*
Volos NFC:Rémy Cabella 1739 −20* for Vasileios Grosdis 1363 −8* - 45'Francesc Regis 1584 −10* for Lazaros Lamprou 1653 −10*
Volos NFC:Francesc Regis 1584 −10* for Lazaros Lamprou 1653 −10* - Boško Šutalo 1768 +2*57'
Aris Thessalonikis:Boško Šutalo 1768 +2* - 58'Derek Agyakwa 1659 −12* assist Gustavo Furtado 1515 −8*
Volos NFC:Derek Agyakwa 1659 −12* assist Gustavo Furtado 1515 −8* - 61'Keidi Bare 1687 −10* for Dženis Burnić 1777 −13*
Volos NFC:Keidi Bare 1687 −10* for Dženis Burnić 1777 −13* - Fredrik Jensen 1898 −8* for Martin Hongla 1811 −3*67'
Aris Thessalonikis:Fredrik Jensen 1898 −8* for Martin Hongla 1811 −3* - Othman Boussaid 1792 −6* for Bruma 1943 −7*67'
Aris Thessalonikis:Othman Boussaid 1792 −6* for Bruma 1943 −7* - Tino Kadewere 1765 +14*74'
Aris Thessalonikis:Tino Kadewere 1765 +14* - 79'Giannis Kargas 1657 −12*
Volos NFC:Giannis Kargas 1657 −12* - Rafa Mir 1994 −8* for Tino Kadewere 1765 +14*80'
Aris Thessalonikis:Rafa Mir 1994 −8* for Tino Kadewere 1765 +14* - Noah Fadiga 1856 −7* for Benjamin Garré 1887 +8*80'
Aris Thessalonikis:Noah Fadiga 1856 −7* for Benjamin Garré 1887 +8* - 84'Eleftherios Tasiouras 1394 −8* for Konstantinos Lykourinos 1267 −8*
Volos NFC:Eleftherios Tasiouras 1394 −8* for Konstantinos Lykourinos 1267 −8* - 84'Giorgos Charalampoglou 1301 −8* for Gustavo Furtado 1515 −8*
Volos NFC:Giorgos Charalampoglou 1301 −8* for Gustavo Furtado 1515 −8* - 86'Giannis Kargas 1657 −12* assist Francesc Regis 1584 −10*
Volos NFC:Giannis Kargas 1657 −12* assist Francesc Regis 1584 −10* - Konstantinos Galanopoulos 1733 −9* for Christian Kouamé 1979 +4*90+2'
Aris Thessalonikis:Konstantinos Galanopoulos 1733 −9* for Christian Kouamé 1979 +4*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 65% · 21% · 14%(Aris Thessalonikis · draw · Volos NFC)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 3–2 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Aris Thessalonikis €1.6M, Volos NFC €511K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Super League 1): Aris Thessalonikis ranked #4 of 14, Volos NFC #11.
- All 11 of Aris Thessalonikis' expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aris Thessalonikis
7th in Super League 1 · 7 pts from 5
- 19 SepDIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1795
- 13 SepLPAOK Greece Super League1821
- 5 SepLAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1827
- 30 AugWOFI Greece Super League1824
- 17 MayWLevadiakos Greece Super League1803
Volos NFC
14th in Super League 1 · pts from 5
- 20 SepLAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1626
- 13 SepLKalamata Greece Super League1573
- 5 SepDOlympiakos Piraeus Greece Super League1636
- 29 AugDIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1563
- 23 AugLOFI Greece Super League1670
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis | 7 /5 | 36.8 | <1% | 5% | 1% | 6th |
| Volos NFC | 0 /5 | 21.0 | 0% | 0% | 69% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Aris Thessalonikis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1947

Volos NFC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1669
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Aris Thessalonikis: balanced profile (how Michalis Grigoriou plays) · Volos NFC: balanced profile (how Konstantinos Bratsos plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.