Super League 1 · Regular Season - 10
Aris Thessalonikis vs Panetolikos
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Aris Thessalonikis host Panetolikos on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Aris Thessalonikis 54%, draw 26%, Panetolikos 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aris Thessalonikis €1.3M, Panetolikos €664K.
- All 11 of Aris Thessalonikis' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Aris Thessalonikis goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Aris Thessalonikis 1844 · Panetolikos 1672
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aris Thessalonikis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1962
Panetolikos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1764
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aris Thessalonikis
5th in Super League 1 · 13 pts from 7
- 18 OctWKifisia Greece Super League1845
- 11 OctWVolos NFC Greece Super League1839
- 19 SepDIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1795
- 13 SepLPAOK Greece Super League1821
- 5 SepLAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1827
Panetolikos
9th in Super League 1 · 9 pts from 7
- 18 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus Greece Super League1608
- 11 OctLKifisia Greece Super League1652
- 20 SepLPAOK Greece Super League1650
- 13 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1713
- 6 SepWLevadiakos Greece Super League1687
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis | 13 /7 | 41.0 | <1% | 21% | <1% | 5th |
| Panetolikos | 9 /7 | 29.4 | 0% | 1% | 15% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: low-volume · direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Aris Thessalonikis: balanced profile (how Michalis Grigoriou plays) · Panetolikos: balanced profile (how Yannis Anastasiou plays)