Super League 1 · Regular Season - 8
Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Aris Thessalonikis host Atromitos on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Aris Thessalonikis 54%, draw 26%, Atromitos 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aris Thessalonikis €1.4M, Atromitos €631K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Super League 1): Aris Thessalonikis rank #4 of 14, Atromitos #13.
- All 11 of Aris Thessalonikis' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Aris Thessalonikis goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Aris Thessalonikis 1844 · Atromitos 1671
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aris Thessalonikis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1962
Atromitos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1758
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aris Thessalonikis
5th in Super League 1 · 13 pts from 7
- 18 OctWKifisia Greece Super League1845
- 11 OctWVolos NFC Greece Super League1839
- 19 SepDIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1795
- 13 SepLPAOK Greece Super League1821
- 5 SepLAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1827
Atromitos
12th in Super League 1 · 2 pts from 6
- 10 OctLAsteras Tripolis Greece Super League1729
- 19 SepLKifisia Greece Super League1713
- 12 SepDIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1701
- 6 SepDKalamata Greece Super League1645
- 30 AugLPAOK Greece Super League1677
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis | 13 /7 | 41.0 | <1% | 23% | <1% | 5th |
| Atromitos | 2 /6 | 22.5 | 0% | 0% | 61% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Aris Thessalonikis: balanced profile (how Michalis Grigoriou plays) · Atromitos: balanced profile (how Dušan Kerkez plays)