Liga I · Regular Season - 13
Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Arges Pitesti host Uta Arad on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Arges Pitesti 40%, draw 29%, Uta Arad 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Arges Pitesti €449K, Uta Arad €364K.
- Arges Pitesti's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Arges Pitesti goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Arges Pitesti 1583 · Uta Arad 1551
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Arges Pitesti · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1547
Uta Arad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1537
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Arges Pitesti
14th in Liga I · 11 pts from 11
- 12 OctLCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1581
- 18 SepLRapid Liga I1602
- 13 SepDFC Botosani Liga I1600
- 7 SepLFC Voluntari Liga I1577
- 29 AugLSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1597
Uta Arad
9th in Liga I · 15 pts from 12
- 18 OctWCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1529
- 10 OctLFC Botosani Liga I1530
- 18 SepWSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1536
- 11 SepLFarul Constanta Liga I1520
- 5 SepWCsikszereda Liga I1515
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arges Pitesti | 11 /11 | 36.8 | 0% | 2% | 14% | 10th |
| Uta Arad | 15 /12 | 38.3 | 0% | 3% | 8% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Arges Pitesti: direct (how Bogdan Ioan Andone plays) · Uta Arad: balanced profile (how Adrian Dumitru Mihalcea plays)