Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC · Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires
Argentinos JRS host Independ. Rivadavia on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Argentinos JRS 43%, draw 28%, Independ. Rivadavia 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Argentinos JRS €1.2M, Independ. Rivadavia €1.1M.
- Home advantage makes Argentinos JRS the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Argentinos JRS goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Argentinos JRS 1805 · Independ. Rivadavia 1806
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Argentinos JRS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1894
Independ. Rivadavia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1862
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Argentinos JRS
3rd in Liga Profesional · 29 pts from 16
- 17 OctWBanfield Argentina Liga Profesional1790
- 11 OctDPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1792
- 4 OctWTigre Argentina Liga Profesional1812
- 20 SepLRosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional1827
- 13 SepDGimnasia L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1837
Independ. Rivadavia
1st in Liga Profesional · 34 pts from 16
- 17 OctDTigre Argentina Liga Profesional1825
- 11 OctLRosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional1849
- 3 OctDGimnasia L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1874
- 21 SepWBarracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional1848
- 12 SepWAldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional1830
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentinos JRS | 29 /16 | 33.8 | 3% | 34% | 0% | 6th |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 34 /16 | 38.7 | 67% | 97% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Argentinos JRS: possession-based (how Nicolás Ignacio Diez Parajón plays) · Independ. Rivadavia: balanced profile (how Alfredo Jesús Berti plays)