Serie B · Regular Season - 6
Arezzo 0–0 Cremonese
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo
ArezzoTeam 1453CremoneseTeam 1808We gave Cremonese 57% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Alberto Cerri 1603 −7*48'Arezzo:Alberto Cerri 1603 −7*
- 55'Tommaso Barbieri 1909 −9* for Michele Collocolo 1820 −9*Cremonese:Tommaso Barbieri 1909 −9* for Michele Collocolo 1820 −9*
- 55'Tommaso Berti 1743 −8* for Marco Nasti 1653 −8*Cremonese:Tommaso Berti 1743 −8* for Marco Nasti 1653 −8*
- 57'Giuseppe Pezzella 1882 −11*Cremonese:Giuseppe Pezzella 1882 −11*
- 59'Giuseppe Pezzella 1882 −11*Cremonese:Giuseppe Pezzella 1882 −11*
- Alessandro Arena 1629 −6* for Emiliano Pattarello 1357 −2*62'Arezzo:Alessandro Arena 1629 −6* for Emiliano Pattarello 1357 −2*
- Leonardo Mancuso 1574 −10* for Alberto Cerri 1603 −7*62'Arezzo:Leonardo Mancuso 1574 −10* for Alberto Cerri 1603 −7*
- Camillo Tavernelli 1406 −5* for Giuseppe Kevin Leone 1457 −3*62'Arezzo:Camillo Tavernelli 1406 −5* for Giuseppe Kevin Leone 1457 −3*
- 68'Simone Lottici Tessadri 1625 −8* for Jari Vandeputte 1891 −13*Cremonese:Simone Lottici Tessadri 1625 −8* for Jari Vandeputte 1891 −13*
- 68'Adin Ličina 1510 −8* for Alberto Grassi 1850 −16*Cremonese:Adin Ličina 1510 −8* for Alberto Grassi 1850 −16*
- Shaka Mawuli Eklu 1273 −7* for Luca Chierico 1147 +19*76'Arezzo:Shaka Mawuli Eklu 1273 −7* for Luca Chierico 1147 +19*
- 76'Manuel De Luca 1771 −8* for Salvatore Elia 1664 −8*Cremonese:Manuel De Luca 1771 −8* for Salvatore Elia 1664 −8*
- Pietro Cianci 1116 −8* for mattia sala 1425 +11*78'Arezzo:Pietro Cianci 1116 −8* for mattia sala 1425 +11*
- 81'Andrea Fulignati 1755 −8*Cremonese:Andrea Fulignati 1755 −8*
- 83'Fabio PecchiaCremonese:Fabio Pecchia
- Alessandro Arena 1629 −6*89'Arezzo:Alessandro Arena 1629 −6*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 19% · 25% · 57%(Arezzo · draw · Cremonese)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–0 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Arezzo €297K, Cremonese €1.6M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Serie B matchday 6: 296 points.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Arezzo
12th in Serie B · 6 pts from 5
- 20 SepLSudtirol Italy Serie B1475
- 11 SepWEmpoli Italy Serie B1430
- 6 SepLHellas Verona Italy Serie B1465
- 30 AugLPalermo Italy Serie B1465
- 22 AugWAvellino Italy Serie B1404
Cremonese
15th in Serie B · 5 pts from 5
- 19 SepDVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1806
- 12 SepDCesena Italy Serie B1809
- 6 SepWPadova Italy Serie B1787
- 28 AugLModena Italy Serie B1848
- 22 AugLEmpoli Italy Serie B1861
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arezzo | 6 /5 | 39.7 | 0% | <1% | 52% | 20th |
| Cremonese | 5 /5 | 60.1 | 4% | 44% | <1% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Arezzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1694
Cremonese · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1763
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.