First League · Regular Season - 9
Aresimi 1–1 Sileks
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
AresimiTeam 1281SileksTeam 1454We gave Sileks 43% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 41'Aresimi:
- 45+2'Aresimi:
- 45+4'Sileks:
- 47'Sileks:
- 53'Aresimi:
- 57'Aresimi:
- 84'Aresimi:
- 85'Sileks:
Before kick-off (provisional): 28% · 28% · 43%(Aresimi · draw · Sileks)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aresimi €111K, Sileks €223K.
- V. Islami, R. Selmani, Sikiru Olatunbosun, B. Velija, M. Goni, A. Gafuri, X. Avduli, A. Cuculi and X. Abdulla (Aresimi) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aresimi
8th in First League · 8 pts from 8
- 29 AugDSkopje North Macedonia First League1238
- 3 MayDTikveš North Macedonia First League1272
- 3 AprLAkademija Pandev North Macedonia First League1269
- 15 MarLShkendija North Macedonia First League1294
- 10 MarLFK Rabotnicki North Macedonia First League1290
Sileks
7th in First League · 9 pts from 8
- 7 AugDShkëndija Haraçinë North Macedonia First League1462
- 16 JulLDinamo Minsk UEFA Conference League1437
- 9 JulWDinamo Minsk UEFA Conference League1438
- 9 MayLVardar Skopje North Macedonia First League1357
- 27 AprLStruga North Macedonia First League1400
Season outlook
From the First League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aresimi | 8 /8 | 19.0 | 0% | 2% | 65% | 8th |
| Sileks | 9 /8 | 23.9 | <1% | 24% | 13% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sileks · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1346
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –