Championship · Regular Season - 14

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd

Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Gayfield Park, Arbroath

Arbroath host Ayr Utd on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Arbroath 45%, draw 28%, Ayr Utd 27%.

Average value of the expected XI: Arbroath €103K, Ayr Utd €147K.
Max Thompson, M. McKenzie, B. Dempsey, S. Bannigan, L. King, L. Dick and A. Dowds (Ayr Utd) have not played for over 90 days.

Provisional prediction

From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.

HomeDrawAway

Most likely scores

Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Arbroath goals first.

1–1
13%
1–0
10%
2–1
9%
0–0
8%
2–0
8%
1–2
7%
Other scores
45%

Team Elo: Arbroath 1384 · Ayr Utd 1356

Probable line-ups

Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Ayr Utd from last season's line-ups (latest 27 March 2026).

GA. McAdams1420

DC. Watson1261

DC. Dewar1379

DT. O'Brien–

DS. Mackie1298

MS. Constable1359

MR. Flynn1209

MS. Stewart1310

MJ. Bonnar1724

MR. Dow1302

FG. Reilly1352

CColin Hamilton1408

GMax Thompson1645

DK. Holt1525

DS. McMann1521

FM. McKenzie1384

MB. Dempsey1357

DG. Finney1041

MS. Bannigan1295

DL. King1632

DL. Dick1193

FA. Dowds1111

MB. Summers1643

CGary Naysmith1052

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Arbroath

8th in Championship · 11 pts from 11

29 AugWLivingston Scottish Championship1328
8 MayDDunfermline Scotland Premiership1306
5 MayLDunfermline Scotland Premiership1310
28 MarLMorton Scottish Championship1329
14 MarDAirdrie United Scottish Championship1286

Ayr Utd

7th in Championship · 12 pts from 11

29 AugDMorton Scottish Championship1344
27 MarLRaith Rovers Scottish Championship1349
14 MarDQueen's Park Scottish Championship1423
10 MarLQueen's Park Scottish Championship1407
3 MarDArbroath Scottish Championship1414

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation.

Club	Pts now	Pred. pts	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3	Most likely
Arbroath	11 /11	47.1	1%	21%	30%	7th
Ayr Utd	12 /11	46.2	1%	19%	33%	7th

Arbroath

Ayr Utd

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Colin Hamilton

Coach DNA: –

Gary Naysmith

Coach DNA: –