Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 10
Araz vs Zira
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Araz host Zira on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premyer Liqa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Araz 29%, draw 29%, Zira 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Araz €311K, Zira €398K.
- T. Əhmədli, Patrick Andrade, C. Diniyev, Alxasov and I. Paro (Araz) have not played for over 90 days.
- Tiago Silva, Ruan, Q. Alıyev, D. Volkovi, A. Mutsinzi, E. Aydın, Guima, I. Djibrilla and G. Papunashvili (Zira) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Araz goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Araz 1485 · Zira 1578
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Araz from last season's line-ups (latest 2 May 2026); Zira from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Araz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1628
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Araz
12th in Premyer Liqa · 2 pts from 8
- 2 MayLImisli FK Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1527
- 18 MarWŞamaxı FK Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1488
- 13 MarWKarvan Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1499
- 8 MarLQarabag Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1531
- 21 FebWKarvan Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1527
Zira
6th in Premyer Liqa · 12 pts from 8
- 30 JulDPaide UEFA Conference League1585
- 23 JulLPaide UEFA Conference League1607
- 16 JulWTorpedo Kutaisi UEFA Conference League1579
- 8 JulWTorpedo Kutaisi UEFA Conference League1548
- 3 MayWQabala Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1527
Season outlook
From the Premyer Liqa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araz | 2 /8 | 35.3 | 0% | 1% | 35% | 9th |
| Zira | 12 /8 | 51.4 | <1% | 54% | <1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –