1. Division · Regular Season - 8
Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Apollon Limassol host Pafos on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Apollon Limassol 33%, draw 29%, Pafos 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Apollon Limassol €881K, Pafos €1.4M.
- 1. Division: R. Majecki is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1996).
- Style contrast in attacking (1. Division): Apollon Limassol rank #7 of 7, Pafos #3.
- All 11 of Apollon Limassol's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Apollon Limassol are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Apollon Limassol goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Apollon Limassol 1751 · Pafos 1798
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Apollon Limassol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1805
Pafos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1819
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Apollon Limassol
3rd in 1. Division · 12 pts from 6
- 17 OctWNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1784
- 10 OctWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1763
- 19 SepDApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1754
- 12 SepDOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1730
- 5 SepWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1668
Pafos
5th in 1. Division · 10 pts from 5
- 15 OctLAtalanta UEFA Conference League1800
- 11 OctWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1799
- 18 SepLAEL Cypriot First Division1774
- 13 SepWAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1757
- 7 SepDOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1783
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol | 12 /6 | 49.0 | 10% | 75% | 0% | 3rd |
| Pafos | 10 /5 | 50.4 | 17% | 82% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Apollon Limassol: possession-based (how Hernán Pablo Losada plays) · Pafos: balanced profile (how Ricardo Manuel Andrade e Silva Sá Pinto plays)