1. Division · Regular Season - 6
Apollon Limassol 4–2 Nea Salamis
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Alphamega Stadium, Limassol
Apollon LimassolTeam 1760
Nea SalamisTeam 1477Match story
Apollon Limassol · draw · Nea SalamisBefore kick-off: 65% · 21% · 14%
Last reading, 90+9': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Dani Escriche 8'
- Brandon Thomas 22' (pen)
- Giorgos Malekkidis 45+2'
- Alen Ožbolt 76'
- Samuel Grandsir 24', 30'
We gave Apollon Limassol 65% to win: they did.
- Dani Escriche 1759 +2*8'
Apollon Limassol:Dani Escriche 1759 +2* - 13'Panagiotis Artymatas 1416 −1
Nea Salamis:Panagiotis Artymatas 1416 −1 - 20'Georgios Christodoulou 1274 −2
Nea Salamis:Georgios Christodoulou 1274 −2 - Brandon Thomas 1841 +4 (pen.)22'
Apollon Limassol:Brandon Thomas 1841 +4 (pen.) - 24'Christos Giousis 1502 for Jordi Quintillà 1483 −5
Nea Salamis:Christos Giousis 1502 for Jordi Quintillà 1483 −5 - 24'Samuel Grandsir 1599 −2
Nea Salamis:Samuel Grandsir 1599 −2 - 30'Samuel Grandsir 1599 −2
Nea Salamis:Samuel Grandsir 1599 −2 - 37'Samuel Grandsir 1599 −2
Nea Salamis:Samuel Grandsir 1599 −2 - Giorgos Malekkidis 1805 +738'
Apollon Limassol:Giorgos Malekkidis 1805 +7 - 42'Christos Giousis 1502
Nea Salamis:Christos Giousis 1502 - Giorgos Malekkidis 1805 +745+2'
Apollon Limassol:Giorgos Malekkidis 1805 +7 - Bruno Gaspar 1789 −4*51'
Apollon Limassol:Bruno Gaspar 1789 −4* - Joel Asoro 1622 for Gaetan Weissbeck 1798 +758'
Apollon Limassol:Joel Asoro 1622 for Gaetan Weissbeck 1798 +7 - 74'Braydon Manu 1585 for andreas panagiotou 1427 −10*
Nea Salamis:Braydon Manu 1585 for andreas panagiotou 1427 −10* - Morgan Brown 1797 for Ivan Ljubić 1842 −3*75'
Apollon Limassol:Morgan Brown 1797 for Ivan Ljubić 1842 −3* - Alen Ožbolt 1755 +1*76'
Apollon Limassol:Alen Ožbolt 1755 +1* - Dani Escriche 1759 +2*81'
Apollon Limassol:Dani Escriche 1759 +2* - 84'timipere eboh johnson 1573 for Georgios Christodoulou 1274 −2
Nea Salamis:timipere eboh johnson 1573 for Georgios Christodoulou 1274 −2 - 84'Darío Poveda 1559 for Karol Angielski 1754 −16*
Nea Salamis:Darío Poveda 1559 for Karol Angielski 1754 −16* - Brandon Thomas 1841 +484'
Apollon Limassol:Brandon Thomas 1841 +4 - Connor Goldson 1684 for konomis leonidas 1717 +1286'
Apollon Limassol:Connor Goldson 1684 for konomis leonidas 1717 +12 - Ike Ugbo 1732 for Alen Ožbolt 1755 +1*86'
Apollon Limassol:Ike Ugbo 1732 for Alen Ožbolt 1755 +1* - Konstantinos Balogiannis 1601 for Giorgos Malekkidis 1805 +787'
Apollon Limassol:Konstantinos Balogiannis 1601 for Giorgos Malekkidis 1805 +7 - 90'
Apollon Limassol: - 90'
Nea Salamis:
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 65% · 21% · 14%(Apollon Limassol · draw · Nea Salamis)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 4–2 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Apollon Limassol €763K, Nea Salamis €268K.
- All 11 of Apollon Limassol's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
- All 11 of Nea Salamis' expected starters were past their position's peak age.
- Apollon Limassol were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Apollon Limassol
5th in 1. Division · 9 pts from 5
- 10 OctWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1763
- 19 SepDApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1754
- 12 SepDOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1730
- 5 SepWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1668
- 29 AugDAris Cypriot First Division1711
Nea Salamis
11th in 1. Division · 4 pts from 5
- 10 OctLApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1337
- 19 SepWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1417
- 11 SepLAEL Cypriot First Division1374
- 6 SepLAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1462
- 28 AugDOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1465
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol | 9 /5 | 48.0 | 9% | 71% | 0% | 4th |
| Nea Salamis | 4 /5 | 27.6 | 0% | <1% | 19% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Apollon Limassol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1798

Nea Salamis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1659
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct · aggressive
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.