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1. Division · Regular Season - 5

Apoel Nicosia 2–1 Nea Salamis

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · GSP Stadium, Nicosia

Apoel Nicosia crestApoel NicosiaTeam 1694
2–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Nea Salamis crestNea SalamisTeam 1385

Match story

Apoel Nicosia · draw · Nea Salamis

Before kick-off: 68% · 19% · 13%

Live chances: Apoel Nicosia 99%, draw 1%, Nea Salamis 0% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 67%, draw 19%, Nea Salamis 13%3' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 67%, draw 20%, Nea Salamis 13%4' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 67%, draw 20%, Nea Salamis 13%5' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 67%, draw 20%, Nea Salamis 13%6' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 66%, draw 20%, Nea Salamis 14%7' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 66%, draw 20%, Nea Salamis 14%8' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 66%, draw 20%, Nea Salamis 14%9' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 66%, draw 21%, Nea Salamis 14%10' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 65%, draw 21%, Nea Salamis 14%11' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 65%, draw 21%, Nea Salamis 14%12' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 65%, draw 21%, Nea Salamis 14%13' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 65%, draw 21%, Nea Salamis 14%14' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 64%, draw 22%, Nea Salamis 14%15' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 64%, draw 22%, Nea Salamis 14%16' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 64%, draw 22%, Nea Salamis 14%17' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 64%, draw 22%, Nea Salamis 14%18' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 63%, draw 22%, Nea Salamis 14%19' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 63%, draw 23%, Nea Salamis 14%20' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 63%, draw 23%, Nea Salamis 14%21' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 62%, draw 23%, Nea Salamis 15%22' · 0–0 · Apoel Nicosia 62%, draw 23%, Nea Salamis 15%23' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 85%, draw 11%, Nea Salamis 4%24' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 85%, draw 11%, Nea Salamis 4%25' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 85%, draw 11%, Nea Salamis 4%26' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 85%, draw 11%, Nea Salamis 4%27' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 85%, draw 11%, Nea Salamis 4%28' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 85%, draw 11%, Nea Salamis 4%29' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 85%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%30' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%31' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%32' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%33' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%34' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%35' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%36' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%37' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%38' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%39' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%40' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%41' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%42' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%43' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%44' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 12%, Nea Salamis 4%45+1' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 4%45+2' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%45+3' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%45+4' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%HT · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%46' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%47' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%48' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%49' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%50' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%51' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%52' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%53' · 1–0 · Apoel Nicosia 84%, draw 13%, Nea Salamis 3%54' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 48%, draw 36%, Nea Salamis 16%55' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 47%, draw 37%, Nea Salamis 16%56' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 47%, draw 38%, Nea Salamis 16%57' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 46%, draw 38%, Nea Salamis 16%58' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 45%, draw 39%, Nea Salamis 16%59' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 45%, draw 40%, Nea Salamis 16%60' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 44%, draw 41%, Nea Salamis 16%61' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 43%, draw 41%, Nea Salamis 16%62' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 42%, draw 42%, Nea Salamis 15%63' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 42%, draw 43%, Nea Salamis 15%64' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 41%, draw 44%, Nea Salamis 15%65' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 40%, draw 45%, Nea Salamis 15%66' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 40%, draw 45%, Nea Salamis 15%67' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 39%, draw 46%, Nea Salamis 15%68' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 38%, draw 47%, Nea Salamis 15%69' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 37%, draw 48%, Nea Salamis 15%70' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 36%, draw 49%, Nea Salamis 14%71' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 36%, draw 50%, Nea Salamis 14%72' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 35%, draw 51%, Nea Salamis 14%73' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 34%, draw 52%, Nea Salamis 14%74' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 33%, draw 54%, Nea Salamis 14%76' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 31%, draw 56%, Nea Salamis 13%77' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 30%, draw 57%, Nea Salamis 13%78' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 29%, draw 59%, Nea Salamis 12%79' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 28%, draw 60%, Nea Salamis 12%80' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 27%, draw 62%, Nea Salamis 12%81' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 25%, draw 63%, Nea Salamis 11%82' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 24%, draw 65%, Nea Salamis 11%83' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 23%, draw 66%, Nea Salamis 10%84' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 22%, draw 68%, Nea Salamis 10%86' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 19%, draw 72%, Nea Salamis 9%87' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 18%, draw 74%, Nea Salamis 8%88' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 16%, draw 76%, Nea Salamis 8%89' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 15%, draw 78%, Nea Salamis 7%90' · 1–1 · Apoel Nicosia 13%, draw 81%, Nea Salamis 6%90+1' · 2–1 · Apoel Nicosia 94%, draw 5%, Nea Salamis 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Apoel Nicosia 95%, draw 5%, Nea Salamis 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Apoel Nicosia 96%, draw 4%, Nea Salamis 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Apoel Nicosia 97%, draw 3%, Nea Salamis 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Apoel Nicosia 98%, draw 2%, Nea Salamis 0%90+6' · 2–1 · Apoel Nicosia 99%, draw 1%, Nea Salamis 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Apoel Nicosia 68% to win: they did.

  1. 23'Apoel Nicosia:Fabricio Pedrozo 1704 −1* (pen.)
  2. 46'Nea Salamis:Brahim Konate 1540 for Jordi Quintillà 1488 −13*
  3. 54'Nea Salamis:Aldair Balde 1414 −14*
  4. 61'Apoel Nicosia:Stavros Georgiou 1497 for Filip Đuričić 1708 −2*
  5. 62'Nea Salamis:Brahim Konate 1540
  6. 63'Nea Salamis:Darío Poveda 1560 for Panagiotis Louka 944 −8*
  7. 63'Nea Salamis:andreas panagiotou 1440 for elia konstantinos 880 −8*
  8. 67'Apoel Nicosia:Antonín Barák 1684 +2*
  9. 73'Apoel Nicosia:Joan Sastre 1874 −2*
  10. 75'Nea Salamis:Alberto Varo 1517 −11*
  11. 75'Apoel Nicosia:Marquinhos 1707 for Joan Sastre 1874 −2*
  12. 75'Apoel Nicosia:Daniel Mancini 1749 for Anastasios Bakasetas 1947 −8*
  13. 76'Nea Salamis:Vasilis Lampropoulos 1575 for Giannis Gerolemou 1223 −8*
  14. 78'Apoel Nicosia:Konstantinos Stafylidis 1698 +1*
  15. 81'Nea Salamis:Braydon Manu 1586 for Samuel Grandsir 1601 −14*
  16. 90+1'Apoel Nicosia:Dalcio 1728 +2*
  17. 90+2'Apoel Nicosia:Marquinhos 1707
  18. 90+3'Apoel Nicosia:Facundo Pérez 1636 for Antonín Barák 1684 +2*
  19. 90+3'Apoel Nicosia:Stylianos Vrontis 1338 for Fabricio Pedrozo 1704 −1*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

GAlberto Varó1517−11*
FAldair1414−14*
DP. Artymatas1416−8*
MGeorgios Christodoulou1276−9*
MG. Gerolemou1223−8*
MS. Grandsir1601−14*
DF. Hanin1494−19*
MK. Ilia880−8*
FP. Louka944−8*
DA. Michail1328−8*
MJordi Quintillà1488−13*
CÁngel López1545−10*
Before kick-off: 68% · 19% · 13%(Apoel Nicosia · draw · Nea Salamis)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Apoel Nicosia €778K, Nea Salamis €214K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Apoel Nicosia

9th in 1. Division · 4 pts from 4

  • 19 SepDApollon Limassol 1616
  • 12 SepLAnorthosis 1645
  • 6 SepWAEL 1686
  • 29 AugLAEK Larnaca 1717
  • 22 MayLPafos 1670

Nea Salamis

11th in 1. Division · 4 pts from 4

  • 19 SepWAnorthosis 1417
  • 11 SepLAEL 1374
  • 6 SepLAEK Larnaca 1462
  • 28 AugDOlympiakos 1465
  • 9 MayLAnorthosis 1283

Season outlook

From the 1. Division simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Apoel Nicosia4 /441.72%35%<1%5th
Nea Salamis4 /429.40%1%16%9th
Apoel Nicosia
Nea Salamis

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Division

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

F. Pedrozo
F. Pedrozo

Apoel Nicosia · +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1704

Sergio González
Sergio González

Nea Salamis · +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1659

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Nikolaos Papadopoulos

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Ángel López Pérez

Coach DNA: direct · aggressive

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.