1. Division · Regular Season - 9
Apoel Nicosia vs Aris
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia host Aris on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Apoel Nicosia 47%, draw 28%, Aris 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Apoel Nicosia €779K, Aris €460K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (1. Division): Apoel Nicosia rank #1 of 7, Aris #7.
- All 11 of Apoel Nicosia's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Apoel Nicosia goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Apoel Nicosia 1698 · Aris 1593
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Apoel Nicosia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1702
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Apoel Nicosia
7th in 1. Division · 8 pts from 6
- 19 OctDPafos Cypriot First Division1760
- 10 OctWNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1732
- 19 SepDApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1616
- 12 SepLAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1645
- 6 SepWAEL Cypriot First Division1686
Aris
6th in 1. Division · 9 pts from 6
- 18 OctDAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1616
- 11 OctWOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1586
- 20 SepDKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1561
- 7 SepLOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1588
- 29 AugDApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1604
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia | 8 /6 | 42.6 | 2% | 32% | 0% | 6th |
| Aris | 9 /6 | 37.0 | <1% | 8% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Apoel Nicosia: possession-based · creative (how Nikolaos Papadopoulos plays) · Aris: aggressive · shot-heavy (how Artem Radkov plays)