Primera División · Clausura - 12
Anzoátegui FC 0–1 Carabobo FC
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Anzoátegui FCTeam 1187Carabobo FCTeam 1523- E. Ramirez 45+3'
We gave Carabobo FC 57% to win: they did.
- 45+3'E. Ramirez – assist A. Gonzalez –Carabobo FC:E. Ramirez – assist A. Gonzalez –
- D. Tegues – for J. Caraballo –46'Anzoátegui FC:D. Tegues – for J. Caraballo –
- D. Guevara –59'Anzoátegui FC:D. Guevara –
- 61'Y. Orozco – for D. Machis –Carabobo FC:Y. Orozco – for D. Machis –
- P. Rojas – for E. Ruiz –66'Anzoátegui FC:P. Rojas – for E. Ruiz –
- J. Castellano – for G. Marin –66'Anzoátegui FC:J. Castellano – for G. Marin –
- 73'M. Nunez – for E. Castillo –Carabobo FC:M. Nunez – for E. Castillo –
- 73'B. Castillo – for L. Martinez –Carabobo FC:B. Castillo – for L. Martinez –
- A. Velasco – for C. Barrios –81'Anzoátegui FC:A. Velasco – for C. Barrios –
- A. Moreno – for J. Pacheco –85'Anzoátegui FC:A. Moreno – for J. Pacheco –
- 85'F. Lopez – for M. Cova –Carabobo FC:F. Lopez – for M. Cova –
- 86'D. Meza – for E. Ramirez –Carabobo FC:D. Meza – for E. Ramirez –
Before kick-off (provisional): 19% · 25% · 57%(Anzoátegui FC · draw · Carabobo FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–1 had 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Anzoátegui FC €117K, Carabobo FC €291K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Anzoátegui FC
14th in Primera División · 14 pts from 24
- 15 SepLUCV Venezuela Primera Division1123
- 12 SepLMetropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1134
- 6 SepLDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division1107
- 3 SepLMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1125
- 25 AprDZamora FC Venezuela Primera Division1234
Carabobo FC
6th in Primera División · 37 pts from 24
- 15 SepWDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division1473
- 12 SepWPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1439
- 7 SepWEstudiantes de Merida FC Venezuela Primera Division1439
- 3 SepLRayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division1401
- 7 JunWPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1566
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anzoátegui FC | 14 /24 | 15.9 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 14th |
| Carabobo FC | 37 /24 | 40.6 | 0% | 45% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Carabobo FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1577
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –