Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 9
Antwerp vs Charleroi
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Bosuilstadion
Antwerp host Charleroi on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Antwerp 41%, draw 29%, Charleroi 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Antwerp €2.2M, Charleroi €1.3M.
- Charleroi's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Antwerp goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Antwerp 1820 · Charleroi 1809
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Antwerp · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1959
Charleroi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1937
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Antwerp
13th in Pro League · 7 pts from 8
- 11 OctLKVC Westerlo Belgium Pro League1860
- 20 SepLUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1808
- 13 SepLClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1786
- 5 SepLStandard Liege Belgium Pro League1876
- 30 AugLSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1791
Charleroi
3rd in Pro League · 21 pts from 8
- 11 OctWStandard Liege Belgium Pro League1841
- 19 SepWCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1820
- 13 SepWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1795
- 5 SepLUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1809
- 29 AugWKortrijk Belgium Pro League1814
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp | 7 /8 | 43.8 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 9th |
| Charleroi | 21 /8 | 54.9 | <1% | 23% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Antwerp: balanced profile (how Marvin Compper plays) · Charleroi: balanced profile (how Mario Kohnen plays)